South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd829ece99e0e28cb768d887a7b1765f0543b06b9b503713b2a6c7e6fc0a9931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 41c | 13,103$5,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,368.06 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 10,341$6,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 8,445$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,382.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 61c | 4,473$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.36 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 51c | 4,249$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.79 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 3,241$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.17 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Yes | 49c | 3,059$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.78 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 2,341$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 2,160$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 1,999$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.15 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…f879backed Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 1,762$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.34 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 56c | 1,507$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 24c | 1,330$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.67 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 39c | 1,315$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.46 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 80c | 1,300$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.1 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes | 36c | 1,114$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 42c | 924.91$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Yes | 37c | 796.61$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.09 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 57c | 776.93$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 53c | 775.55$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.04 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 60c | 703.89$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.02 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…1f26backed Yes | 25c | 692.64$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 57c | 651.67$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.03 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 622$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 33c | 615.56$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.6 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes | 33c | 587.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 31c | 570.09$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.36 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…f823backed Yes | 36c | 505.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 25c | 400.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x201d…2e13backed No | 56c | 385.63$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 27c | 350$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 52c | 341.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 58c | 324.6$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.32 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 49c | 323.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.18 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 59c | 317.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.54 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 53c | 303.87$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 49c | 285.31$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed No | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 55c | 270$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 41c | 254.64$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 50c | 252.78$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…77bfbacked Yes | 28c | 251.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 246.92$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a33…6410backed Yes | 44c | 235.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 61c | 229.1$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x44e8…1871backed Yes | 53c | 213.21$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 14c | 211.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Yes | 41c | 210.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 43c | 208.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 178.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec91…c229backed Yes | 44c | 169.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…698bbacked Yes | 57c | 152.67$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…67b5backed Yes | 48c | 141.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89d8…332bbacked Yes | 52c | 134.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…0332backed Yes | 73c | 133.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 47c | 129.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 57c | 121$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 30c | 116$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 115.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 62c | 104.47$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 103.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd23…f7eabacked Yes | 25c | 100.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 44c | 99.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 43c | 98.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.22 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Yes | 57c | 91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 22c | 89.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.02 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed No | 64c | 85.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 43c | 78.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 49c | 71.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 45c | 70.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 28c | 70.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974e…8703backed No | 24c | 68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ac…c53bbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 57c | 60.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked No | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…b74ebacked Yes | 39c | 54.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 45c | 51.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…b75bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 59c | 47.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will EC Bahia vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?Yes won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.