TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$407,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $407,511 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed No42c135,080$56,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,846.4918352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed No40c123,311$49,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,142.8929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes60c89,831$53,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,920.658530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes48c19,981$9,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,569.8949449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes46c16,154$7,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,387.68,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c15,899$7,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,028.271,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes59c12,919$7,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,630.8723354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes58c12,683$7,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,401.053,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8488…588cbacked Yes59c12,357$7,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,287.118321.7%18 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes58c10,524$6,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,063.118153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes58c7,654$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.266543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes59c7,042$4,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,161.531,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Yes61c5,609$3,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,421.291450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes60c5,211$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.1339853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes33c4,894$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.962,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes58c4,865$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes34c4,810$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.685,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes53c4,637$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4804847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No36c4,096$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.442450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.983360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes66c4,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,639.9820046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb5…cabdbacked Yes58c3,320$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes54c3,300$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+95.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes60c3,211$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.8122049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Yes58c2,698$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes54c2,604$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.287143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes60c2,377$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.2637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf18…179abacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked Yes60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes61c1,552$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.724027.5%11 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes57c1,351$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.085354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes49c1,306$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6403737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes17c1,275$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.046124.6%15 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Yes22c1,132$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Yes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes18c795.42$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x763a…49a9backed Yes12c724.57$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4134953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes61c614$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.543138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes58c600$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34821849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes59c592.08$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.1720953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No78c584.39$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes40c567$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.915944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes6c554.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8481740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No79c553.08$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2447756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No35c494.98$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.929956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.831745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes60c473.61$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9517143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes59c471.95$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0623542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes39c435$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.311334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Yes59c420.89$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.032171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c411.95$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No70c407.07$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca75…6c97backed Yes54c396.79$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.472437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes58c382.88$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.841,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c375$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.251,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Yes58c362$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Yes55c349.09$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes20c325$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6514727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes33c295.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2335758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd5…9801backed Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+117.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea6f…dd06backed Yes43c256.24$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes64c252.46$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.041,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No42c251$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5817946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes52c249.5$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8870055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.97332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes24c242$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2132936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked Yes11c238.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.92683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+78.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed Yes23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No41c212.6$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.578829.5%26 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2962…b2d6backed Yes8c209.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Yes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1167554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No41c189.13$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.5921345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe256…1dd8backed Yes16c187.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c84…ac9abacked No41c178.27$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes57c172$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.82966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x270d…a696backed No36c160.64$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes19c158.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes59c152.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes16c151.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked No42c151$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed No71c147.75$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.382642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes59c147.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.466842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa384…f5e9backed Yes18c145.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.26333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No79c138.47$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes58c135.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.711631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes60c132$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.838763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc95f…09debacked Yes60c131.67$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes59c129.69$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.521,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Yes58c126$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.