TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$298,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,067 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes19c112,781$21,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,204.629446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes59c35,894$21,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,154.851,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Yes68c15,684$10,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,670.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c13,308$6,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,212.68,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c13,237$5,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,226.655,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c8,812$3,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,357.772,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes71c4,236$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes19c3,594$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.8637851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes77c3,504$2,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Yes19c2,552$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.924052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No35c2,454$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.3847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No30c2,175$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.298153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf35…3fc6backed Yes53c2,143$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed No52c1,998$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.98850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes55c1,596$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.3521132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x323b…6ed9backed Yes48c1,500$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Yes19c1,324$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.516124.6%15 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No65c1,043$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.161978.9%15 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+74.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c1,020$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.551,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Yes69c927.9$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.251861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No35c860$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5597128.2%20 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked No39c763.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+27.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes5c683.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.23,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8eb…af00backed Yes75c600$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No28c540.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.788246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Yes60c535.41$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201353.8%7 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Yes22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.375125.5%13 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd421…7155backed Yes54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No34c361.93$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8528231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4490…fe8bbacked Yes56c346.94$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No47c284.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3884943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes20c278$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.68530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed No46c260$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.71936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No36c256.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.7941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes58c226.35$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0916740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No26c205$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15245746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Yes60c201.67$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066e…6f56backed Yes53c198.11$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No45c191.07$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1635758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked No38c188.96$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.524566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes55c176.12$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.411,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Yes54c168.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No36c162.07$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.562755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes21c160.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3749535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed No26c158.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.042171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a0d…c27bbacked Yes20c156.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe94a…0ff1backed Yes20c156.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…955bbacked No39c153.26$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick45cpaid+78.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x394c…a639backed Yes53c152.83$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed No40c149.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.151776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick58cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe051…9ec5backed Yes20c147.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa384…f5e9backed Yes53c145.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No28c142.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8622145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x119f…ce35backed Yes73c141.71$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes21c107.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313814.5%20 W · 118 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No79c101$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2115459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed Yes11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5216041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Yes67c98.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ec…40edbacked No53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed No43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.026731.3%21 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2962…b2d6backed Yes70c79$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No64c76.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.41,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes32c74.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.621338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No76c68.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Yes52c64.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.512642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c02…4dc9backed Yes68c64.57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9130%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa839…82e2backed Yes59c64.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8174…b82ebacked No32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes20c61.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick26cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No36c61.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No46c58.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.758265.9%54 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed No49c56.02$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x763a…49a9backed No43c54.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Yes63c54.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Yes29c54.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes41c52.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5320065%130 W · 70 L+18.0wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a83…635bbacked No38c52.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Yes23c49.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.593250%16 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes21c47.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26a6…ff11backed Yes63c47.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed No36c46.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.922766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes32c44.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.112755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed No43c44.02$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.9wins+0.37per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No80c40.93$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.191,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad9…c98bbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacb…2c7dbacked No71c38.52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.173100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+102.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3953…c360backed No38c38.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda65…0f34backed Yes54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes48c34.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.784339.5%17 W · 26 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.