South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4689c653bae506cd184c5eb589c6e6773363fe2b73a9837ddfe473e4fcc640da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,348 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 16,380$11,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,787.28 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 4,648$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.53 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 3,346$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 2,857$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 30c | 2,746$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.31 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 74c | 1,807$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.78 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,502$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.07 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 1,441$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.81 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…bb93backed Yes | 80c | 1,301$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 1,053$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.49 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 67c | 1,019$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.02 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 21c | 525.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.09 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 73c | 502.26$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.42 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes | 30c | 444.6$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 79c | 408.5$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.72 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 71c | 350.56$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 32c | 282.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 27c | 254.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.31 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 250$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 249.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 33c | 247.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.55 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 200.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf18…179abacked Yes | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 165$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Yes | 33c | 164.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 25c | 145.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 142.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 72c | 142.47$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…f5e9backed Yes | 31c | 131.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 23c | 130.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…858fbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 78c | 120.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.33 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 30c | 111.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 9c | 110.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 41c | 106.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 31c | 100.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 69c | 95.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 87.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 17c | 81.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 32c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 72c | 74.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 34c | 71.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 52c | 70.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 21c | 66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 26c | 65.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 30c | 63.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce72…cbefbacked Yes | 49c | 63.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 33c | 60.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 33c | 59.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 56.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe051…9ec5backed Yes | 22c | 53.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…955bbacked Yes | 29c | 46.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0881…356abacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…8315backed Yes | 30c | 43.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 27c | 37.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 70c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 80c | 34.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076e…a6a4backed Yes | 71c | 31.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed No | 72c | 30.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 50c | 27.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…c802backed No | 47c | 25.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 24.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 22.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x119f…ce35backed Yes | 72c | 19.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed No | 71c | 14.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mazatlán FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-20?No won
- Will Mazatlán FC win on 2026-03-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.