TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,762 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac47…d234backed No71c30,365$21,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,442.27837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c16,358$6,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,074.238,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No69c10,911$7,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,528.792070%14 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes31c7,006$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,804.262450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes51c7,001$3,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.581,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes30c6,008$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,205.338153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c5,947$4,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,148.481,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No19c4,755$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.8930841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes57c4,390$2,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.485,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No12c4,113$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.3121132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes30c3,609$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.8323354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed No69c3,000$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.992657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes31c2,880$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.031346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Yes77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes30c2,558$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.837851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes55c1,761$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.511,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c1,300$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89339853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No57c1,160$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.141,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Yes32c946.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.352850%14 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes32c899.06$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.5328231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes29c862$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.027722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes31c807.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.235819%11 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes28c700$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+267.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No29c637.49$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.584943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes25c614.72$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.524153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No68c587.49$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.495354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c571.9$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.231,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes30c558.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.61973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+32.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Yes32c528.79$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.884052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c480.39$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.1781651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes63c380.56$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2728651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c360.01$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.261,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.589956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes31c295.88$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.1612741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Yes21c286.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.814418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed No31c277.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick36cpaid+51.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes43c276.98$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.53,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Yes30c261$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.72832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes30c252$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.417946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4868…c8d1backed Yes10c250$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+64.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf71a…b75bbacked Yes14c250$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Yes8c250$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.441338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+60.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes30c243.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.511,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1052…67d0backed No69c218.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No69c195.26$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6817066.5%113 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed No69c181.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c180.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.418149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No16c172$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8527133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes29c168$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2823542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Yes30c167$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.94630.4%14 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No15c165.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1671619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb35a…c452backed Yes32c159.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed No70c157.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes27c152.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.082445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68d7…852bbacked Yes32c136$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes31c135.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.857450%37 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes39c133.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7135758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes30c132$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.198530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes29c130.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3620953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No26c128$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4611334.5%39 W · 74 L-9.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No32c123.84$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.331,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4b…cdedbacked Yes32c123$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c120.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8b9d…a01fbacked Yes32c110$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9a…3d81backed Yes32c110$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+131.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf09b…5971backed Yes31c107.14$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.141526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No70c107$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7919239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes39c101.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.549535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a94…b335backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb0…466fbacked Yes48c94.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.424652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd71…6714backed No70c85.71$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0687…77bfbacked No18c80.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.763923.1%9 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No37c74.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.671,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes30c73.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3810033%33 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Yes31c72.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.334656.5%26 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Yes29c72.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.474656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed No70c71.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes28c71.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.44738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c71.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.253,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked No71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dee…efa6backed No20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7e5…a899backed Yes31c69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes30c68.01$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.441,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67f…dac8backed Yes31c65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.91825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5213228%37 W · 95 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes30c64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.492,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8614…ffc6backed Yes31c63.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No69c60.04$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3967548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed No18c59.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.713250%16 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes32c57.48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.322133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe527…bae2backed No69c55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed No70c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43ab…f630backed Yes29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes31c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56440.6%26 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbffb…402dbacked No69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63d0…1a1abacked No75c46.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6404…2a20backed No47c45.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.142365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.