TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will George Russell achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,805

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,805 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8105…f7b1backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No36c3,873$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.0221337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5425…f968backed Yes64c2,288$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.521250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes64c1,753$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.885337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No36c1,670$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed No20c1,285$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7315932.7%52 W · 107 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…66abbacked Yes63c1,104$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.052450%12 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No35c837$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.682425%6 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00d…0016backed Yes74c603.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.521030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No47c598.7$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.132650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ab…9924backed Yes65c458.07$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-69.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No10c450.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.133766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes49c428.78$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.525540%22 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9e…49b3backed No10c332.03$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.28529.4%25 W · 60 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1349…359bbacked Yes63c279.05$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No48c276.91$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.027659.2%45 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes75c266.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.761662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x123b…91eabacked Yes47c242$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef3…67d1backed Yes47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c6…4602backed Yes47c230$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes54c228.2$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.391258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13c6…8defbacked No53c226$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019d…961ebacked No53c223$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd595…838dbacked Yes47c222$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711b…b709backed Yes47c213$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb70b…14bcbacked Yes47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc539…31c0backed Yes47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a81…7439backed Yes47c212$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af0…01f9backed Yes47c211$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33f…82bcbacked Yes47c209$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4954…3773backed Yes47c208$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c4…6357backed Yes47c208$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f79…2f0ebacked No53c206$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e21…ac4abacked No53c205$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb26e…c535backed Yes47c203$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa6…a042backed Yes47c202.4$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x536f…756dbacked Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1442…6552backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcebc…b742backed Yes47c199$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d64…b8b5backed No53c198$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28d…ec9bbacked No53c198$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c1…ac33backed No53c197$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff54…af3abacked Yes47c195$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e4…68a3backed No53c194$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb68…527fbacked No53c192$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1004…88d9backed No53c192$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…9b30backed No53c188$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x541b…ff34backed Yes47c188$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3a…c849backed No53c185$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ab…fa90backed No53c182$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7518…d45bbacked No53c180$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5f…3960backed No53c177$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…14ddbacked No53c177$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6f8…b2e6backed Yes65c176.65$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.65540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…c51bbacked No53c175$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x917c…017fbacked No53c172$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fca…3031backed No53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Yes51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf716…6057backed No53c148$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes51c135.04$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.04955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.22per pick34cpaid+74.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x558b…e5aabacked Yes63c130.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No20c130.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.67633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa765…c330backed Yes73c125.49$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.91560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed No17c121.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.17728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c7…87d5backed Yes50c111.54$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bab…15e7backed Yes64c111.05$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.98742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce86…fe75backed Yes63c104$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc84…8f5bbacked Yes49c101.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f6…9e08backed Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-80.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7632…7a11backed Yes45c99.98$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.991030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No32c96.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.956325.4%16 W · 47 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No22c92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.322142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f20…086abacked Yes78c91.98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-57%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…4073backed No15c90.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633633.3%12 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+191.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa3…86e8backed Yes67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.552060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8756…1cb4backed Yes80c86.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x171c…f0a0backed Yes77c82.88$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9346…df81backed Yes65c66.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No52c53.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.874353.5%23 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d8…849abacked Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…d461backed Yes65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160a…ffa2backed Yes51c45.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No28c43.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2512325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea42…2c25backed Yes72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.24259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed No48c38.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.65757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7dd…ff1bbacked No55c37.58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb60…2749backed Yes44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No52c32.85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0212616.7%21 W · 105 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd7…1d26backed Yes80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6077…3dc0backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.771844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f0…d8a0backed Yes61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebc…41f2backed Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe11e…c0d5backed Yes52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.851233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Yes64c26.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5c…b693backed Yes80c26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed No51c25.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.922035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.