TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ASTRALof ASTRAL, HAVU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,496

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked HAVU57c6,327$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.873,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed ASTRAL54c4,298$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.4221941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…251cbacked ASTRAL50c3,054$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.7614857.4%85 W · 63 L+11.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked ASTRAL32c3,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.984546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked HAVU66c2,620$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.7184454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed HAVU37c2,532$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.329153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL33c2,367$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.561,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked HAVU46c2,255$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.512,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b3…ba7dbacked ASTRAL33c2,020$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked ASTRAL51c1,566$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.576544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe25…45afbacked ASTRAL33c1,505$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3db4…d69bbacked ASTRAL34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9975056.8%426 W · 324 L+47.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed HAVU46c1,441$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.6424550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed HAVU67c1,293$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.484264.3%27 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed ASTRAL55c800$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.5839245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed ASTRAL60c785.66$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5518943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c0…9f1abacked HAVU67c760$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96e2…7e35backed HAVU67c750$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ASTRAL39c743.88$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.1836253.3%193 W · 169 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf72…cd58backed HAVU67c680$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5a…d818backed HAVU67c675$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3657…58a0backed HAVU67c665$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed ASTRAL36c613.89$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8955738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…cb1bbacked HAVU66c599.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.996060%36 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed HAVU59c589.81$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.7625934%88 W · 171 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed HAVU30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5312021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked ASTRAL31c499.97$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.9843640.6%177 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL37c485.73$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.095,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed HAVU50c422$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21176546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0a…b543backed ASTRAL32c415$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.22152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x227f…405dbacked HAVU68c415$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.152454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed HAVU65c409.1$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26739239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked HAVU41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16413351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU68c367.4$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.037,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed HAVU22c360.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.092,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HAVU65c350.57$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.711,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed ASTRAL63c300$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1929647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked HAVU66c255.94$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.785,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…19fcbacked ASTRAL50c224$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed HAVU45c205$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.429840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked HAVU44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.526257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked HAVU44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888445.2%38 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed HAVU54c195.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.738844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed ASTRAL35c192$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6133044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed ASTRAL33c191.52$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.329842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked ASTRAL62c190.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5145956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed HAVU41c160.39$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.684,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed HAVU16c158.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.231,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked HAVU67c153.23$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1323858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed ASTRAL65c151$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5846344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed ASTRAL33c150$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.554032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed HAVU68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021867%146 W · 72 L+0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb87…4611backed ASTRAL68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0612158.7%71 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked HAVU41c132.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7615057.3%86 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617f…cde5backed HAVU38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502552%13 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x04c0…6f9cbacked ASTRAL36c130.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.184454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed ASTRAL61c127.62$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0221723%50 W · 167 L-35.4wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-61.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed ASTRAL71c120.97$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6546843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL65c108$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.945,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed HAVU66c105.57$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6810952.3%57 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed ASTRAL34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.539237.2%146 W · 246 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked ASTRAL36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked HAVU62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6270038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed HAVU43c97.89$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1311241.1%46 W · 66 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed HAVU43c96.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1328660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked ASTRAL53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed ASTRAL65c92.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.382763%17 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked ASTRAL32c90$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.295642.6%407 W · 549 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked HAVU66c88.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked HAVU68c88.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HAVU44c86.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.815,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked HAVU39c83.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3719845.5%90 W · 108 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked HAVU49c80.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3819055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed ASTRAL52c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7429244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed HAVU43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed HAVU41c66.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.162,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked ASTRAL67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.93,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked HAVU66c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.391648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ASTRAL69c58.41$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.182,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed HAVU67c55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.95630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed HAVU50c52.12$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.065343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf089…55cbbacked HAVU66c50.15$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.032356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed ASTRAL32c49.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2610651.9%55 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed HAVU42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08a8…03a7backed ASTRAL64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x860e…a06dbacked HAVU42c45.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198840.9%36 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed HAVU45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203622.2%8 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-55.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed ASTRAL29c42.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4887244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bd…8c6ebacked HAVU67c42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed ASTRAL33c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.82722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked HAVU65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611450%57 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed HAVU68c36.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514439.6%57 W · 87 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked ASTRAL46c33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8848948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2035…f33ebacked ASTRAL66c30.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.762,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked ASTRAL80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked HAVU34c29.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.144165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed HAVU38c29.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0513943.9%61 W · 78 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5f4…07b6backed ASTRAL60c28.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.311782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed ASTRAL59c26.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9837841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.