NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Wizards

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4a8ef80b7465fbe7f0dd8251a9854a4d0d6637f2e668ca2f55ede61f0cdbc7

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Raptorsof Raptors, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,859,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,976,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,859,410 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2e69…858dbacked Wizards	12c	208,704$25,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,044.43	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Wizards	12c	162,792$19,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,535.04	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	12c	83,998$10,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,469.75	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Raptors	75c	81,465$61,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,340.67	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wizards	12c	77,610$9,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,313.17	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	13c	76,078$9,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,890.09	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Wizards	12c	68,487$8,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,218.44	232	57.8%134 W · 98 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Wizards	14c	65,063$9,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,100	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Wizards	12c	50,379$6,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,045.52	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards	12c	50,000$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,999.97	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Wizards	13c	45,000$5,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,850	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83b4…13c9backed Wizards	23c	41,614$9,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,592.35	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards	21c	36,324$7,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,553.66	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Wizards	24c	35,371$8,489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,488.96	176	46%81 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Wizards	12c	30,000$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,599.98	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	13c	28,766$3,673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,672.96	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabdf…9fe6backed Wizards	10c	26,731$2,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,634.61	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	12c	25,432$3,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,053.13	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	12c	24,528$2,932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,932.38	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079e…8254backed Raptors	76c	24,000$18,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,760	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80c5…333dbacked Wizards	27c	22,727$6,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,053.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	12c	21,269$2,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,552.35	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Wizards	24c	20,647$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Raptors	76c	19,449$14,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,733.96	489	56.4%276 W · 213 L	+31.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Raptors	78c	17,806$13,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,926.1	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…5a1bbacked Wizards	33c	17,163$5,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,580	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Wizards	12c	15,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	13c	13,332$1,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,733.16	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Raptors	78c	12,668$9,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,786.93	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+12.2wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Wizards	13c	12,615$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640	173	56.1%97 W · 76 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4935…fc12backed Wizards	13c	12,500$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,579.99	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	28c	12,388$3,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,516.37	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wizards	16c	11,350$1,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,841.16	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd44c…1223backed Wizards	19c	11,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,079.99	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wizards	23c	10,385$2,385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,384.61	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed Wizards	12c	10,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Wizards	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	191	52.4%100 W · 91 L	+16.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+23%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Wizards	13c	9,997$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.61	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3415…2a8cbacked Wizards	0c	9,762$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Wizards	23c	9,419$2,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,206.6	385	40.3%155 W · 230 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x487f…e5d7backed Wizards	27c	9,398$2,491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,491	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0441…b3aabacked Wizards	13c	9,000$1,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Raptors	70c	9,000$6,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,680	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+80.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Wizards	14c	8,947$1,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.56	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards	12c	8,313$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.53	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Wizards	19c	8,143$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.18	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab4…a27abacked Wizards	12c	8,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Wizards	6c	7,988$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.4	131	46.6%61 W · 70 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards	12c	7,980$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.64	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	22c	7,746$1,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,697.83	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Wizards	13c	7,500$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	1,269	44.5%565 W · 704 L	+32.4wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards	30c	7,243$2,174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,173.9	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x646e…3b1dbacked Wizards	12c	7,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	60	23.3%14 W · 46 L	-9.4wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	2c	6,846$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.92	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards	20c	6,796$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7048…282dbacked Raptors	76c	6,544$4,982 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.94	79	45.6%36 W · 43 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Raptors	77c	6,494$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,493.51	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Wizards	24c	6,486$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.03	469	40.3%189 W · 280 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	15c	6,416$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.84	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Wizards	13c	6,054$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	13c	6,050$787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Raptors	76c	6,000$4,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,440	119	55.5%66 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors	73c	5,583$4,084 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.75	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Wizards	12c	5,500$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Wizards	26c	5,243$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.76	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Wizards	12c	5,234$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.11	219	37%81 W · 138 L	-15.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92fe…99bdbacked Wizards	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa25d…2227backed Wizards	23c	5,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Raptors	77c	4,669$3,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,073.82	416	52.2%217 W · 199 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards	13c	4,600$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Wizards	10c	4,400$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.34	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c9…cd97backed Wizards	13c	4,300$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Wizards	23c	4,300$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…5752backed Wizards	12c	4,170$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.45	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Wizards	12c	4,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Raptors	66c	3,969$2,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.54	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Wizards	25c	3,948$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.81	308	40.9%126 W · 182 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed Wizards	12c	3,765$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.8	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Raptors	74c	3,761$2,784 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.05	2,468	50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L	+38.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab7…24ecbacked Wizards	33c	3,585$1,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,183.14	160	65%104 W · 56 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wizards	13c	3,344$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.67	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d65…e347backed Wizards	17c	3,198$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.2	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	13c	3,150$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.99	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Raptors	75c	3,132$2,349 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$782.96	566	46.5%263 W · 303 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Wizards	16c	2,995$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.28	288	42.7%123 W · 165 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Wizards	17c	2,947$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.91	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards	26c	2,798$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.41	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Raptors	78c	2,764$2,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.1	321	51.7%166 W · 155 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…5baebacked Wizards	16c	2,692$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.76	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors	74c	2,479$1,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.38	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	13c	2,321$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.67	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed Raptors	78c	2,308$1,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.1	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…b3bfbacked Wizards	13c	2,300$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Raptors	80c	2,250$1,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.5	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Raptors	80c	2,223$1,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.41	295	47.5%140 W · 155 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ab…e0debacked Wizards	13c	2,209$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.12	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c53…0d37backed Raptors	77c	2,194$1,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.33	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e7…ab94backed Wizards	13c	2,160$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.78	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Wizards	1c	2,144$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	15c	2,046$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.13	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Raptors vs. Wizardsthis page
1H Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Wizards won
Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
Bub Carrington: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Wizards won
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Wizards won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Raptors vs. Wizards

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event