NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41d4bcc17b11744a2491dd7ea5baf3482386794f3f941f4809a197cc43028bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 50c | 50,352$25,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,176.05 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 32,388$17,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,317.18 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b3…911fbacked Under | 50c | 22,600$11,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,300 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Under | 48c | 11,868$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…8b08backed Under | 50c | 9,999$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 9,014$4,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Under | 45c | 8,328$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.6 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 48c | 6,949$3,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.52 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…e0debacked Under | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Under | 45c | 4,148$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.6 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 3,998$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.11 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 52c | 3,229$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.23 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 3,097$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 2,639$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,283.44 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 50c | 2,528$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.8 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Under | 45c | 2,223$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 2,037$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.28 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,746$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 61c | 1,652$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.42 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2aa…6be4backed Over | 55c | 1,299$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f63…57b9backed Under | 45c | 1,299$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 1,217$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.76 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.87 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 932.28$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.49 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 46c | 863.87$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.01 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 862.38$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.5 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 51c | 717.91$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.03 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 48c | 622.92$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 600$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 54c | 489.65$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.41 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 52c | 455.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 55c | 425$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 397.4$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Under | 3c | 375$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 367.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.98 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 361.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.03 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…ba4cbacked Under | 50c | 311.42$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 12c | 290$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Under | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 222.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 44c | 215.14$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Over | 54c | 185.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 41c | 157.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.51 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 28c | 152.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 45c | 149.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 214 | 59.3%127 W · 87 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Under | 50c | 133.74$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 47c | 117.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…2fdabacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 48c | 87.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 72.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Under | 46c | 69.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Under | 45c | 61.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…23dbbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…6179backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…1139backed Under | 20c | 59.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4227…8c10backed Under | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…5cb6backed Over | 50c | 55.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 52c | 54.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 53.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Over | 57c | 52.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Over | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 68c | 45.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83d…3aa2backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 240 | 42.9%103 W · 137 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 37c | 42.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 54c | 42.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 62c | 39.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 65c | 37.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Over | 55c | 34.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 71c | 33.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfb…6dc1backed Over | 56c | 32.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…423dbacked Under | 52c | 29.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 26.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 46c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 49c | 25.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Wizards won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. WizardsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.