TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,796

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Over52c14,458$7,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,939.8232653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b37…3b3ebacked Over51c10,336$5,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,014.542147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under46c6,222$2,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.1170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c4,844$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,305.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under48c4,056$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,94730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under49c4,040$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.671547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over53c3,620$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.9687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda55…df49backed Under48c3,559$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,711.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+66.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over58c3,447$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.5812844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c3,409$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.242,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Under46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38010743%46 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under44c2,900$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.81,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c2,268$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.935,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under40c1,713$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.423,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Over59c1,500$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.4743051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3190957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under42c1,128$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.884,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over53c955.5$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.2228842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under48c821.67$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.419445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Over58c744.41$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.656453.1%34 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af8…a113backed Over50c734$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b9…1d8abacked Over50c720$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ede…c29fbacked Over50c718$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3592100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f98…8751backed Under50c716$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc1…cd6ebacked Under50c688$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfda2…2329backed Under50c686$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Under50c681$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.510849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b2…ac98backed Over50c678$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc3…6d08backed Under50c672$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf343…5e88backed Over50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfac…bee9backed Over50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cfe…df9bbacked Under50c664$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e6…ed5cbacked Under50c658$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x321a…13f3backed Over50c644$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ef…33a0backed Under50c642$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff84…6194backed Under50c640$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9e…8b35backed Over50c636$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ea…9888backed Under50c632$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c631$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc5…7bfdbacked Under50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x612b…be76backed Under50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6891…c73fbacked Over50c620$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x205d…b8d5backed Under50c614$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9877…15acbacked Under50c614$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8107…5911backed Under50c602$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2387…383bbacked Over50c598$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde1…6f9fbacked Over50c586$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0a2…93a9backed Under50c580$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f2…cd17backed Over50c578$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d25…2123backed Under50c570$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28540%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a91…f19bbacked Over50c564$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf6…d903backed Over50c562$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c5…4be6backed Over50c562$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb833…3ee4backed Over50c554$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b7…485cbacked Under50c554$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6240…354cbacked Under50c534$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a51…e358backed Over50c526$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b9…1edbbacked Over50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac5…db93backed Over50c520$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a2…3895backed Under50c520$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45e5…39d9backed Under50c516$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7340…9233backed Over50c513$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9871…6085backed Over50c510$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe93f…887cbacked Under50c504$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1187…804abacked Over50c496$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…2f33backed Under50c488$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee08…c228backed Over50c488$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa43…7b3abacked Over50c481$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under41c480.47$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.992,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd353…0a3ebacked Under50c470$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea5c…ecbbbacked Over50c468$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5e…f673backed Under50c468$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa6b…06cabacked Over50c464$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0621…3504backed Over50c464$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa1…12c1backed Under50c462$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1cc…27b4backed Under50c458$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a55…34babacked Over50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc90c…e831backed Under50c448$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c1…1947backed Over50c447$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa83d…28b0backed Over50c442$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f42…acb1backed Under50c437$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff5…6598backed Over50c433$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73ac…eb44backed Under50c432$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Over58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0311850%59 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5474…6d76backed Over50c426$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce85…9534backed Over50c422$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6deb…586cbacked Under50c416$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c412.6$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4729…44f3backed Under50c407$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea7e…7192backed Under50c407$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8d6…4825backed Over50c403$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c399.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.993,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb62…f244backed Under50c395$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76ef…f33cbacked Over50c387$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ee…31ddbacked Under50c384$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf993…2b59backed Under50c381$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c376.7$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.652,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa6…c286backed Over50c376$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.