TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Raptors, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$580,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$594,912

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,130 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Raptors48c528,494$253,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253,549.3987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards52c300,000$156,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Wizards52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards52c10,744$5,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,147.844,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Raptors1c9,180$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.829810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Wizards53c5,599$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,631.6629650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards53c5,368$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.852,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Wizards53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards53c4,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9004,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Wizards52c3,333$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.8414753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4c5…8874backed Raptors47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Raptors21c1,780$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.816943.8%74 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Raptors1c1,749$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.491,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Wizards79c1,414$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8744252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards66c1,247$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.581,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards53c1,200$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5663,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd72f…2806backed Raptors48c1,112$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.692842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Raptors31c800.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8859140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Raptors23c781.81$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.889430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards52c763.36$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.543,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb295…e601backed Wizards70c710.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.874259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors30c689.99$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.813,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb0…4488backed Raptors51c583.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006647%31 W · 35 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Raptors44c571.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014344.1%63 W · 80 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Raptors17c499.65$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9427435.4%97 W · 177 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards62c452.17$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.672,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards52c436$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.986,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards52c399.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Wizards52c398.63$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8940243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wizards53c383$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.011,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards51c336.69$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.012,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…b9e5backed Wizards80c307.55$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Raptors44c299.96$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9852242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Wizards67c296.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6110849.1%53 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Raptors36c279.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Raptors47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10093036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wizards36c208.11$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards53c200$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb4…d481backed Wizards54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c53…0d37backed Wizards54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9211153.2%59 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b1…aeeabacked Wizards56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde2e…6875backed Wizards69c194.33$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.246149.2%30 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Raptors39c193.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.32449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wizards60c190.1$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7390357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Raptors47c178.57$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9376552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards52c172.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.73,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Wizards77c158.31$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4135438.1%135 W · 219 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Raptors49c157.84$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3450653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Raptors20c143.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Wizards52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.610945%49 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Raptors56c110.24$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.265542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Raptors48c108.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9822048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Raptors47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors45c103.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.965,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c0…d72dbacked Raptors49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Wizards53c101.15$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5414557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Wizards53c100.41$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.091,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors39c100.02$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Wizards54c99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.541,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f7…3da2backed Wizards79c94.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3217753.1%94 W · 83 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b68dbacked Wizards54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.595632.1%18 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards54c87.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.553,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards53c86.26$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.584,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Wizards61c82.86$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9588057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Raptors29c79.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238944.9%40 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Raptors39c77.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.571,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x611a…a622backed Raptors49c75.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.87837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Wizards80c73.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0745653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf1…a57bbacked Wizards56c69$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.362850%14 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Raptors33c65.56$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.966621.2%14 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b16…1290backed Raptors41c62.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards51c61.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Raptors28c60.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.272231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Raptors37c58$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4627747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Wizards53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.617650%88 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards53c53$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.911,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Wizards53c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4438252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Wizards53c50.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.971,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0de…a9fcbacked Wizards71c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Raptors48c48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Wizards65c46.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.367252.8%38 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x565b…fa9bbacked Raptors47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Wizards55c41.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5618459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Raptors47c41.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…8046backed Raptors26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacbc…ab1ebacked Wizards54c37.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.23580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards72c34.9$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Raptors33c32.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.911,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed Wizards78c32.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0516052.5%84 W · 76 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf52f…b2f5backed Wizards53c31.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.647557.3%43 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Wizards53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.314847.3%70 W · 78 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Wizards55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2726757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…0b92backed Wizards56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.79580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8be7…bf37backed Wizards73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Wizards71c14.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.216369.9%114 W · 49 L+18.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.