NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5096d55428fdcd85d84cc32da15577c2b637a9827b9453c880ec4c9d97f739
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Raptors, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $580,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $580,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 48c | 528,494$253,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253,549.39 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wizards | 52c | 300,000$156,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 52c | 10,744$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Raptors | 1c | 9,180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Wizards | 53c | 5,599$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.66 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 53c | 5,368$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Wizards | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 53c | 4,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Wizards | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c5…8874backed Raptors | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Raptors | 21c | 1,780$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Raptors | 1c | 1,749$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Wizards | 79c | 1,414$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.87 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Wizards | 66c | 1,247$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.58 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 53c | 1,200$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…2806backed Raptors | 48c | 1,112$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.69 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raptors | 31c | 800.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.88 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Raptors | 23c | 781.81$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.88 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 52c | 763.36$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.54 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Wizards | 70c | 710.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.87 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 30c | 689.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Raptors | 51c | 583.15$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…8acabacked Raptors | 44c | 571.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Raptors | 17c | 499.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 274 | 35.4%97 W · 177 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 62c | 452.17$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 52c | 436$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wizards | 52c | 398.63$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wizards | 53c | 383$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.01 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 51c | 336.69$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…b9e5backed Wizards | 80c | 307.55$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Raptors | 44c | 299.96$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Wizards | 67c | 296.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Raptors | 36c | 279.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raptors | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Wizards | 36c | 208.11$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Wizards | 53c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Wizards | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…0d37backed Wizards | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b1…aeeabacked Wizards | 56c | 196.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…6875backed Wizards | 69c | 194.33$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Raptors | 39c | 193.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wizards | 60c | 190.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.73 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Raptors | 47c | 178.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 52c | 172.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Wizards | 77c | 158.31$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Raptors | 49c | 157.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.34 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Raptors | 20c | 143.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Wizards | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Raptors | 56c | 110.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Raptors | 48c | 108.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Raptors | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 45c | 103.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…d72dbacked Raptors | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Wizards | 53c | 101.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wizards | 53c | 100.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 39c | 100.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Wizards | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…3da2backed Wizards | 79c | 94.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b68dbacked Wizards | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 54c | 87.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 53c | 86.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wizards | 61c | 82.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Raptors | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 39c | 77.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…a622backed Raptors | 49c | 75.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Wizards | 80c | 73.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Wizards | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Raptors | 33c | 65.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b16…1290backed Raptors | 41c | 62.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 51c | 61.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Raptors | 28c | 60.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Raptors | 37c | 58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Wizards | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Wizards | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Wizards | 53c | 50.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…a9fcbacked Wizards | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Raptors | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Wizards | 65c | 46.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Raptors | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Wizards | 55c | 41.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Raptors | 47c | 41.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…8046backed Raptors | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…ab1ebacked Wizards | 54c | 37.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 72c | 34.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Raptors | 33c | 32.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…2890backed Wizards | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed Wizards | 53c | 31.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…6562backed Wizards | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Wizards | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…0b92backed Wizards | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8be7…bf37backed Wizards | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Wizards | 71c | 14.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-8.5)Wizards won
- Brandon Ingram: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Bub Carrington: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Raptors vs. WizardsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 227.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-13.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.