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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsof Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,767
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,767 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils67c14,871$9,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.145,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions39c7,520$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.622,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions30c4,993$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5092,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions40c4,141$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.871,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils53c4,068$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.971,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions73c3,428$2,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,508.863,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils75c2,402$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.741,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils18c1,745$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.694,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils9c1,043$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.1318349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions32c803.82$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.512,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils66c702.51$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2770936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils9c699.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.8281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions33c612.82$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.421,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcd…3b61backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions37c484.02$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.091926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils43c473.25$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.92,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions33c433.53$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.522,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils69c431.86$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.274,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions31c342.41$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.51,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions24c322.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9512540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils10c299.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.272,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils76c284.28$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9522157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0650…6875backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils75c271.95$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils59c256.59$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6971655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f91…1e15backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils65c228.93$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.132560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions80c199.78$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.626357.1%36 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions33c198.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2942934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils8c187.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.431650%8 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2c…0d72backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils72c156.34$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-65.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils73c153.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.147959.5%47 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions33c146.09$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.995056%28 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils64c138.91$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.618439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils57c131.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils65c119.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.822860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions24c111.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions30c79.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.21875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions27c73.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.141,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8a38…81abbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils69c71.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.374959.2%29 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x463f…351cbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions32c69.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+46.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions28c65.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.49119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-50.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils61c58.68$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.061,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions54c55.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6829954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions58c54.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x060c…7d36backed Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils68c41.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.257100%7 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+67.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcae7…e2cdbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils65c37.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…cf8abacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils67c33.93$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils76c19.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.714740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.