CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bda8e77b5f3d75f8518afaf3aa1aaa32d03901f94700e87fe8edf2685cf4d1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EYEBALLERSof EYEBALLERS, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ NXT | 33c | 1,956$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.98 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked EYEBALLERS | 66c | 1,571$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked MOUZ NXT | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 1,112$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 1,068$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.63 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 1,064$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked MOUZ NXT | 33c | 761.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed EYEBALLERS | 69c | 607.57$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed EYEBALLERS | 55c | 557.29$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.85 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked EYEBALLERS | 57c | 421.68$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed EYEBALLERS | 60c | 400.75$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.63 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 392.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked MOUZ NXT | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…123cbacked EYEBALLERS | 75c | 170.97$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…7fb5backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 159.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed EYEBALLERS | 66c | 153.84$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…9f80backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked EYEBALLERS | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked EYEBALLERS | 57c | 99.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 98.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 69.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed MOUZ NXT | 28c | 66.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked EYEBALLERS | 76c | 61.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed EYEBALLERS | 53c | 61.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed EYEBALLERS | 43c | 57.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 53.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 48.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed EYEBALLERS | 58c | 47.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…5f02backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 35.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 33.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…cf8abacked EYEBALLERS | 71c | 32.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed MOUZ NXT | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…2229backed MOUZ NXT | 45c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 21.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEYEBALLERS won
- Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerEYEBALLERS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.