Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42026a3d4dd61b61118ea50fe43159bf2ce1dcd8004970a7f0a015ad81f3f9b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,024 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 38c | 43,569$16,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,553.68 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 62c | 13,171$8,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.92 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 11,637$8,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.39 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Yes | 37c | 9,981$3,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,653.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 8,529$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.43 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed No | 6c | 5,840$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 41c | 5,695$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.29 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 62c | 4,844$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.33 | 147 | 55.1%81 W · 66 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 3,667$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.12 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed No | 64c | 3,236$2,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 37c | 3,069$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 2,812$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.6 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 39c | 2,582$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 2,405$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.85 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 70c | 2,156$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.29 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 2,094$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.2 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 1,920$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.25 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 1,888$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.84 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…54cbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,743$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 34c | 1,602$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 41c | 1,179$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.21 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 60c | 1,151$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.83 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 35c | 1,001$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.32 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 11c | 999.99$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked No | 65c | 985.54$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…6f89backed Yes | 69c | 875.35$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 53c | 780.48$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…988cbacked No | 64c | 751$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba3…c7f1backed Yes | 61c | 747.43$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 32c | 742.27$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.66 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 55c | 708$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.55 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 62c | 688.31$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.56 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 62c | 628.42$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 622.48$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.49 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 582.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.76 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 52c | 536$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.69 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 62c | 450$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 69c | 417.73$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked No | 59c | 396.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 380.4$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd6…96c4backed Yes | 37c | 320.14$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 11c | 305.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.01 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 64c | 267.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +65%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 37c | 262$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 61c | 252.46$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 11c | 251.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.42 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 63c | 244.26$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 57c | 242.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed No | 64c | 236.6$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 62c | 224.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.03 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked No | 65c | 223.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 47c | 202.44$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 187.43$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 9c | 181.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 27c | 175.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Yes | 37c | 172.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 30c | 171.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 36c | 165$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 62c | 162.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 41c | 160.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 153$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 62c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3886…92fbbacked Yes | 68c | 147.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 51c | 137.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 55c | 130.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.07 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 62c | 115$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…3e03backed Yes | 66c | 111.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 66c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 62c | 107.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c6…2de4backed Yes | 36c | 105.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…964fbacked No | 63c | 97.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 91.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…cf8abacked No | 68c | 80.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b5…1225backed No | 78c | 76.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 55c | 70.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 63c | 66.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 65.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 63c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 63c | 60.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.