TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,269

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,269 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No75c4,138$3,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,103.6346644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No49c2,523$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.984141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Yes29c2,100$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.71771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes60c1,910$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.263080%24 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c1,859$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.5743748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c1,780$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.3998844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes25c1,520$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1401353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Yes27c1,500$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.814060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c1,435$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.8414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes26c1,179$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.522138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes57c1,027$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Yes28c975$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7021553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes25c915.38$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.381040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No71c843.48$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.7622652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d8e…7fe3backed No76c799.97$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes24c786.42$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.6514843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c97…988cbacked No75c751$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.25366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Yes72c737.94$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No49c710.77$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7647850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes25c679.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.56453.1%34 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No50c636.26$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.473941%16 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No23c555.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.581136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-38.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No52c489.29$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.5910857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No25c480.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.35333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes37c432.44$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.0630536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca66…2305backed Yes26c400.54$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No35c399.98$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.993545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No74c390.86$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2411055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes57c372$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.094151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes26c365$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.14032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked No45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No56c316.39$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.5410633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Yes16c299.81$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c285.74$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.316858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…5de1backed Yes67c272.1$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No16c262.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.944940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes34c254.31$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+56.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Yes57c210$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa349…81ecbacked No72c203.2$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed No32c199.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641010%1 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8417…8a39backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.31333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes43c171$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.042544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes26c166.79$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.683455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7e…be0cbacked Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes43c143.1$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.252334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No75c139.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5730954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes26c134.62$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.621145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes77c130.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7657backed Yes77c130.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c117.79$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Yes43c114$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.982556%14 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed No73c109.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4178…8b48backed Yes68c102.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.56344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes16c97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.422152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1228…8011backed Yes72c94.35$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Yes26c92.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Yes25c89.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.494055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed Yes58c86.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes43c76.37$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8513540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes25c76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1ec…1363backed Yes26c74.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.791163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.28per pick36cpaid+101.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes45c73.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.41425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b7…de43backed Yes26c70$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c67.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.79714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes26c61.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-26.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes17c60.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.41136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes67c53.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.381650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c49.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.494443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No74c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5213551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No42c46.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.776823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07a0…7a80backed Yes59c46.23$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No73c42.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.974650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed No59c41.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed No76c40$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No57c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.83754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e09…f00bbacked Yes40c39.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No69c35.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.614951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No36c34.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2314047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No75c33.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes73c33.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes53c29.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.611233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Yes56c26.8$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa548…1fd5backed No75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fad…a528backed No75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x729f…8783backed No46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94b5…1225backed Yes56c20.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9369…8b85backed No76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes72c19.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.441957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No56c18.29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3370%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes73c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.592441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b2d…cb6bbacked Yes72c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked No75c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.