TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,510 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No70c8,504$5,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.0798844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes39c8,030$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,120.354032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes39c4,845$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.551353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No61c4,057$2,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.8912055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c3,801$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.6546644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes23c3,280$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.997833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes39c2,884$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.7611055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No61c2,859$1,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.941275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes41c2,073$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c2,000$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.1228659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No61c1,844$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.814955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes16c1,500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2409336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5852268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked No62c1,413$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+81.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4684341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes17c1,149$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.09333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes34c1,081$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.592544%11 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88d…f708backed Yes28c1,070$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.994928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+47.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1104…39fabacked Yes41c968.92$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.251553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+36.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes8c904.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.691136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-38.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No59c876.59$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.422652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes30c812.5$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456129.5%18 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c97…988cbacked No61c751$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.61366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes16c750.31$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+413.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes31c740$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.494151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes41c648.2$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.761346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes37c636.43$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.532138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes22c601$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.322152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes26c590.92$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes29c548.81$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1547850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes12c544.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No60c521.59$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.114755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No60c466.17$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4719345.1%87 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0d…3f04backed Yes40c458.3$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No59c430$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.330055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes16c347.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.587334.2%25 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No61c327.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.983836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No65c257.91$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.274141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No73c253.3$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4910857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes30c251.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35f1…93d9backed Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.51926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17a7…e494backed Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes28c235.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.741338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes41c205.88$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.142334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Yes38c202.11$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes17c187.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5280%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes28c177.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes38c176.58$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3259…d55ebacked No63c174.62$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5336…de48backed Yes38c159.25$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x053b…03b8backed Yes38c154.94$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8417…8a39backed Yes23c151.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.56460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.55257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No65c149.24$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5830954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No65c147.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0614047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…056dbacked No63c139.57$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes11c135.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.06742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No61c134$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2610160.4%61 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes40c125.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbec3…22b6backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204645.7%21 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+34.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf174…d052backed Yes41c122.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+252.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45fc…009fbacked Yes39c122$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No78c115.56$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0830536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No61c115$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.855156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e2…0a27backed Yes12c112.27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.96253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes29c101.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes14c100.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.071323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes39c93.45$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6112532.8%41 W · 84 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No61c90$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No62c89.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.934055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Yes28c88.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No61c84.06$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.713551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d44…2f97backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed No62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.655048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes30c77.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011351.3%58 W · 55 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No75c76.3$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.284650%23 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No61c75$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.256563.1%41 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No70c70.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+56.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes36c66.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb39c…7cbfbacked Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc28…10a3backed Yes16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes26c60.35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4123551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.