Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaf313c4eaea5e4f6e0833790e94418822c536ca6746fd40a96f0f4113bb77ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juventus FCof Juventus FC, Pisa SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,056 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pisa SC | 65c | 21,990$14,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,276.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juventus FC | 35c | 19,003$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,392.79 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Pisa SC | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.95 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Juventus FC | 35c | 8,751$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,687.81 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Juventus FC | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Juventus FC | 19c | 2,707$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.6 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Juventus FC | 35c | 2,509$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.71 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Juventus FC | 35c | 2,100$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Pisa SC | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pisa SC | 65c | 1,979$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.24 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juventus FC | 11c | 1,511$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pisa SC | 65c | 1,186$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.75 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Juventus FC | 32c | 820.81$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.14 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Juventus FC | 20c | 308.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.86 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Pisa SC | 65c | 305.56$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Pisa SC | 65c | 249.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Pisa SC | 65c | 249.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Juventus FC | 36c | 207.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Juventus FC | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Juventus FC | 35c | 157.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Pisa SC | 66c | 151.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Juventus FC | 35c | 150$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Juventus FC | 55c | 122.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pisa SC | 46c | 89.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x791d…c32bbacked Juventus FC | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Juventus FC | 35c | 70.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Pisa SC | 66c | 66.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cf…2302backed Juventus FC | 34c | 59.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde42…e01bbacked Juventus FC | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juventus FC | 31c | 50.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pisa SC | 65c | 50.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Juventus FC | 35c | 45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Juventus FC | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Juventus FC | 35c | 40.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Juventus FC | 35c | 38.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Pisa SC | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…cf8abacked Pisa SC | 65c | 29.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Pisa SC | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…44e8backed Juventus FC | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pisa SC | 65c | 21.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Pisa SC | 65c | 21.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Pisa SC | 58c | 17.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)this page
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.