TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,447 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over39c17,370$6,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,634.99350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under62c5,400$3,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,346.7796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under61c3,688$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.6840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under61c2,150$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.5633148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under64c1,333$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.2316838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over29c1,250$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.412429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.642236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over37c1,010$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.8840549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over16c999.82$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.42,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…cc36backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd98f…4273backed Under10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.67per pick8cpaid+2,025%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Under4c469.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401926.3%5 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick9cpaid+454.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under68c369$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.927464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…f17ebacked Over37c366.82$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a76…7314backed Over37c356.17$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under69c264.76$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.791043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over38c263.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.13875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under62c249.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9938547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over80c214.6$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6122373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1227424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over52c197.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.683565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under71c182.67$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.794136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under12c156.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.05468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+126%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under55c154$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1523345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Over38c131.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under62c131.32$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf279…e68fbacked Under64c131.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over20c130.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+91.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131625%4 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+380%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5995…382dbacked Under64c128.17$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3557…6da7backed Under64c127.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over18c125.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9618055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over51c125.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.586956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28c4…48e3backed Under11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+969.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over43c120$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4811460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x027b…5587backed Over49c114.29$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.29650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4119…96f0backed Under64c114.23$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1130%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54c4…f835backed Under64c111.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a3…93d5backed Under64c110.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.82450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8038739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+106.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under77c91.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.116960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over16c83.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.232725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under62c80.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33be…800cbacked Over32c74.05$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.05742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under61c72.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.266245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e31…a753backed Over32c65.48$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.482152.4%11 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick38cpaid+28.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over28c65.26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.267100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+115.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over33c63.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.648242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over38c61.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.798752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under61c59.95$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5711150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under61c59.92$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5519542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under61c59.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.069750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c59$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2665254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under49c53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.229661.5%59 W · 37 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde42…e01bbacked Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under52c51.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2746742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Under42c51.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.594151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under63c51.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b5f…5e78backed Over37c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under54c48.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.192740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf69a…1326backed Over38c43.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under62c42.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1642347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over37c40.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.544740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254949%24 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under50c38.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.413350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under63c35.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.554751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over36c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.414549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.28357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb14…ead4backed Over39c29.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f75…fd89backed Under62c28.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-58.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ad…9d51backed Over38c26.45$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Under80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202272.7%16 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under62c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7821251.9%110 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2449…3799backed Under63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f0d…f4d9backed Under63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Over56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2810759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under64c18.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under61c18.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.334158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fc6…7affbacked Under64c15.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.