TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf69a…1326

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT4250%21 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.83
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$18.13
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.37
76ers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$35.66
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.48
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.98
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.14
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.45
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.37
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.68
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.59
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$33.51
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT3729.7%11 W · 26 L-7.4wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NHL — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.53
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.26
Kraken vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Flyers vs. Sharksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.45
Sabres vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.94
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.75
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$14.43
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Penguins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Panthers vs. Krakenbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.3
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$33.44
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$12
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+163.2%+$26.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.49
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$17.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.