MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6603f27b9f7e98f8a96f646a028c403333407e1c5ca283bc17cf4074b258ea40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,481,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,471,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,481,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 38c | 981,539$368,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613,090.2 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 62c | 343,702$213,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213,094.99 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Braves | 63c | 113,207$71,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,320.47 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Braves | 63c | 81,500$51,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,345 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Braves | 48c | 71,099$34,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,301.86 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Braves | 62c | 65,000$40,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,550 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves | 63c | 61,661$38,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,846.13 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Braves | 63c | 42,726$26,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,917.38 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Braves | 63c | 37,838$23,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,837.94 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Braves | 63c | 34,371$21,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,525.15 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Braves | 63c | 30,000$18,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,900 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Braves | 1c | 30,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 4c | 26,019$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.13 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Braves | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,499.99 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Braves | 51c | 24,079$12,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,296.05 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Nationals | 37c | 14,737$5,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,284.31 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 63c | 13,548$8,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,535.24 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Nationals | 37c | 12,827$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,081.22 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Braves | 64c | 11,719$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 45c | 10,541$4,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,758.28 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 36c | 9,017$3,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.96 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Braves | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Braves | 63c | 7,826$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.1 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Nationals | 37c | 7,624$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.26 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Braves | 52c | 7,286$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,821.56 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Braves | 63c | 7,254$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Braves | 63c | 6,081$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.03 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Braves | 62c | 5,555$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,444.1 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 36c | 5,525$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,536.04 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Braves | 63c | 5,397$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Braves | 28c | 5,170$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.8 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Nationals | 79c | 3,940$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.41 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Braves | 63c | 3,810$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 33c | 3,770$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.58 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 13c | 3,646$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.29 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nationals | 66c | 3,463$2,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Braves | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 64c | 2,690$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.4 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 35c | 2,288$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.75 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 70c | 2,273$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.9 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Braves | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Braves | 58c | 1,971$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Braves | 34c | 1,940$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Braves | 15c | 1,816$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Braves | 63c | 1,763$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Braves | 63c | 1,667$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.43 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Nationals | 37c | 1,666$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.58 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 49c | 1,646$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.56 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Braves | 12c | 1,606$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nationals | 63c | 1,546$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.4 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Braves | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Braves | 8c | 1,487$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Braves | 8c | 1,481$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Braves | 43c | 1,389$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Braves | 18c | 1,300$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 34c | 1,259$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.55 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Nationals | 69c | 1,242$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Braves | 32c | 1,195$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Braves | 53c | 1,138$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Braves | 63c | 1,079$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.54 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Braves | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Braves | 62c | 938.26$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.72 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 36c | 899.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…2c03backed Nationals | 58c | 867.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.92 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 63c | 855.4$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Braves | 62c | 854$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.48 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 60c | 823.23$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Braves | 64c | 792.06$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.92 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Nationals | 62c | 777.91$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Nationals | 45c | 738.97$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.97 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Braves | 43c | 717$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.65 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Braves | 54c | 714$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.56 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Braves | 57c | 712.62$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.36 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Braves | 6c | 700$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Nationals | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Nationals | 74c | 676.88$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.88 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 37c | 676.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.29 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Braves | 3c | 665$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Nationals | 36c | 624$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.36 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Braves | 41c | 619.95$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Braves | 14c | 616.04$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Nationals | 36c | 613$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.32 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 63c | 600$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed Nationals | 37c | 550$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Nationals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Nationals | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Nationals | 38c | 535.08$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c86…f1f1backed Braves | 64c | 526.56$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Braves | 6c | 519.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…26c4backed Nationals | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 36c | 499.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.74 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Nationals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Nationals | 38c | 460.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.53 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Nationals | 63c | 415.27$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Nationals | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Braves | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Bravesthis page
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.