MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc34e4f3d2361bb1e79b5446243939785159c9396d9766d77823a95aebd879721
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Tigers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,177,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,163,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,177,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers | 44c | 747,451$328,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328,713.56 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Guardians | 56c | 151,188$84,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,522.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 56c | 140,000$78,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,299.96 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians | 57c | 100,000$56,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,400 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Guardians | 56c | 80,000$44,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,200 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 56c | 71,000$39,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,240 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers | 45c | 65,095$29,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,111.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 54c | 50,265$27,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,124.71 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Guardians | 67c | 44,647$29,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,816.17 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers | 20c | 42,553$8,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,507.65 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Tigers | 51c | 36,291$18,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,329.49 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 56c | 33,227$18,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,625.05 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Guardians | 54c | 28,701$15,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,094.15 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Tigers | 46c | 25,926$11,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,925.95 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Guardians | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 54c | 21,148$11,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,816.33 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Guardians | 56c | 20,124$11,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,855.99 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Guardians | 58c | 17,850$10,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,497 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 67c | 12,752$8,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.75 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Guardians | 56c | 10,666$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.04 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f3…97a8backed Guardians | 57c | 9,643$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Guardians | 58c | 9,264$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,924.53 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tigers | 44c | 9,150$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,996.88 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Tigers | 44c | 7,208$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.52 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Tigers | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Guardians | 57c | 6,665$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.21 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Tigers | 44c | 6,218$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.05 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Tigers | 3c | 6,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Guardians | 56c | 5,555$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.2 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tigers | 29c | 5,521$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.48 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Guardians | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Tigers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…435fbacked Tigers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 56c | 4,713$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…3e3dbacked Tigers | 44c | 4,659$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 43c | 4,043$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.41 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Guardians | 56c | 4,017$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.48 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Guardians | 72c | 3,979$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.36 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Guardians | 56c | 3,269$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.44 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers | 46c | 3,132$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.69 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Guardians | 54c | 3,043$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Guardians | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Tigers | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Guardians | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers | 51c | 2,697$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.56 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Guardians | 54c | 2,668$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 44c | 2,555$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.2 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 56c | 2,405$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.2 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 26c | 2,375$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 56c | 2,260$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.4 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tigers | 18c | 2,196$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.83 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…e25ebacked Guardians | 57c | 2,110$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…070fbacked Tigers | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.97 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers | 1c | 1,994$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tigers | 26c | 1,785$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.61 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked Guardians | 56c | 1,600$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 56c | 1,537$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.16 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 69c | 1,264$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Guardians | 63c | 1,251$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.91 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Guardians | 75c | 1,125$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Tigers | 42c | 1,102$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.7 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 9c | 1,102$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Tigers | 33c | 1,061$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 56c | 1,025$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Tigers | 45c | 1,008$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.6 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 56c | 994.44$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.82 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Tigers | 39c | 960.28$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.41 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…8b39backed Guardians | 55c | 924.07$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Tigers | 47c | 878.21$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Guardians | 53c | 876.71$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.05 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Tigers | 46c | 867.03$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Tigers | 26c | 762.61$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.07 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Guardians | 56c | 690.58$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.85 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Guardians | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Guardians | 53c | 681.21$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.17 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f3…1665backed Tigers | 26c | 638.89$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Tigers | 46c | 620.61$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Tigers | 45c | 599.62$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.83 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Tigers | 44c | 569$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Tigers | 27c | 558.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Guardians | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Guardians | 56c | 513.76$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 46c | 499.97$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tigers | 2c | 476.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked Tigers | 9c | 457.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Tigers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Tigers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…7269backed Tigers | 46c | 452.17$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…8a91backed Tigers | 46c | 452.17$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Tigers | 45c | 440.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Tigers | 12c | 439$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 47c | 425$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.67 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Guardians | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Tigers | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Guardians | 55c | 397.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.06 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Guardians | 57c | 395$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.85 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Guardiansthis page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.