Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64454208099a0e30ec73ed8bed688dfebadd074dafceb87ce3ea90ea8fcdb7e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $533,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $533,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 50c | 205,530$103,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,520.22 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over | 50c | 163,757$81,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,740.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 50c | 101,990$51,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,851.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 37,168$18,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,651.53 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 32,293$16,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,149.94 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Over | 49c | 31,368$15,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,370.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 28,015$13,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,070.65 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 26,537$13,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,846.47 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 49c | 23,781$11,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,128.31 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 51c | 21,520$10,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,544.83 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under | 52c | 20,706$10,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,909.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 49c | 19,731$9,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,995.33 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 12,793$6,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,428.82 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 51c | 12,745$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,245.11 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 10,989$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.14 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 10,568$5,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 53c | 9,999$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 8,468$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.63 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 50c | 7,167$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.9 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 49c | 6,661$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 51c | 4,565$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.85 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 4,066$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4546…a2c2backed Under | 50c | 2,060$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under | 49c | 2,001$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 20c | 1,749$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.76 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 1,570$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 49c | 1,530$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.3 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 55c | 1,386$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…62eabacked Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.05 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.74 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Under | 50c | 866.62$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 49c | 821$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.71 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 52c | 760$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 50c | 688.94$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.29 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 39c | 641$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 600$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 50c | 586.49$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.34 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 50c | 576$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 51c | 456.84$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.68 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Under | 50c | 395.27$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 50c | 375.61$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Under | 50c | 348.23$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 50c | 332.73$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.91 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 18c | 327.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 255 | 56.5%144 W · 111 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 50c | 297.54$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.38 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 50c | 281.78$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 50c | 250.23$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 50c | 217.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 53c | 205$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.55 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Under | 50c | 199.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 52c | 184.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 157.5$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 23c | 149.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 145.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 42c | 142.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 68c | 142.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 140.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 50c | 140.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 131$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.72 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 124 | 53.2%66 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.