Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20adcaaf4158b213f4849fe67f82eed267a22d7570765baf8e7bbb59ead6e289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 4,244$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.93 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 25c | 2,424$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.53 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 26c | 1,008$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.07 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 29c | 917.79$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.2 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 879.47$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 66c | 863.31$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.06 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Over | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…769cbacked Over | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.48per pick | 42cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 76c | 328.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 63c | 198.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 8c | 180$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 36c | 176$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Over | 29c | 167.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 35c | 167$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 25c | 142.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde1…9e41backed Over | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 69c | 103$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 100.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 25c | 96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +8.6wins | +0.27per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 17c | 86.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…c4b2backed Over | 76c | 82.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 70c | 81.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…9c4fbacked Under | 26c | 59.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 32c | 58.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…1df1backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0718…fccebacked Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Over | 28c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…31edbacked Over | 75c | 31.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 74c | 29.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 76c | 27.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…dac0backed Over | 70c | 26.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 75c | 14.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 1.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)Parma Calcio 1913 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.