TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$593,145
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$623,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,145 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over45c351,007$159,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191,303.792065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c183,844$97,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,635.44,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under54c57,110$31,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,009.2220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under51c53,140$27,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,101.482133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over46c50,000$23,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,0009743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Over49c50,000$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,499.992969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Under55c43,667$24,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,016.855950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Under55c40,000$22,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under55c19,882$10,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,935.13540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over62c16,129$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,128.941968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c10,407$5,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,536.892,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under53c8,805$4,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,644.2964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over56c7,777$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.8812553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under38c7,468$2,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.6769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Over45c7,253$3,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under53c6,412$3,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,405.895757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c6,064$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.012650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c5,831$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,973.7530446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.991450%7 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c4,355$2,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.9750149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.995927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over51c3,896$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,896.083857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Under57c3,606$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0502138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c2,938$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.451,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under55c2,883$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.683046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under55c2,141$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.118251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c2,100$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.442851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over42c2,100$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.4918650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under54c2,026$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.095964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0808853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10014348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Under51c1,840$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.652166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over48c1,651$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.0211345.1%51 W · 62 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under59c1,453$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.513,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under50c1,244$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-51.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under53c1,062$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.141147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under54c1,042$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.0111354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41614647.9%70 W · 76 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over27c799.69$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.784942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over49c787.03$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.193043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c768.7$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.6632545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under53c724.82$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.828155.6%45 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over45c671.86$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.7312626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004334.9%15 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-34%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over51c565$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8523250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under54c550.42$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1620245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over38c544.47$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.577440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Under57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Over46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.784946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6715451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over45c377.8$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.792040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c374$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.9610450%52 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under54c366.59$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6827850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under55c360$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over57c351.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4118842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c335.23$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1261557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under53c321.82$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16516745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16231751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.124040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under7c263.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.496412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Over45c253.18$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.252839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf343…fba6backed Over57c240.25$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.311241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over47c229.79$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.794047.5%19 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under54c225.59$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.544447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355c…2c1cbacked Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.593053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over55c199.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.993372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+65.8%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c196.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.811,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0a…7ca8backed Over50c192.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under52c189.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.46464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under54c184.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over42c182.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6819344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under48c180$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.434252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5716865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under10c160$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.42321.7%5 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+212.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under54c149.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over43c146$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5915246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ae…a9dcbacked Under65c140$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2246…e958backed Under51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked Over51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under54c136.69$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3412152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over47c129.11$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8933949.9%169 W · 170 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over41c128$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4212944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753522.9%8 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+58.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over33c122$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3413249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under50c121.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6132145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.