La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a4e55e64f35d633c0e95c960906d770fa9390112a1e26eceef0b273b678aa6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 43,385$24,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,257.16 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 46c | 35,000$16,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 13c | 2,300$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 1,160$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.82 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 9c | 1,005$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 42c | 996$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.32 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 50c | 807.04$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.62 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 710.46$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.98 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 44c | 688.04$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…d35fbacked Under | 75c | 467.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 419.65$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.84 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 47c | 398.46$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 41c | 378.15$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 48c | 352.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 49c | 334.69$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 78c | 328.21$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Under | 58c | 324.14$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 241.67$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 19c | 215.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 200.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.27 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 25c | 193.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 28c | 182.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…c88bbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 29c | 115.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…035cbacked Over | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 48c | 95.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Over | 29c | 89.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 58c | 86.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 278 | 50%139 W · 139 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 52c | 84.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 72c | 83.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 81.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 24c | 72.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 69.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 26c | 59.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed Over | 24c | 59.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 66c | 46.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Under | 62c | 40.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +110%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -65%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd5…9e49backed Under | 74c | 37.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…bea0backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3127…ff44backed Over | 30c | 34.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Over | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9204…a71bbacked Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6250…8707backed Under | 73c | 28.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb6…80aebacked Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 55c | 27.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 53c | 26.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under | 57c | 24.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9e…b97fbacked Over | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 21.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 51c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5this page
- Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.