La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64346cccb884f2f29cf5482812d171ce685b262e09677ce06353de1b8de2fa6c

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $121,425
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $168,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,425 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	29c	50,911$14,823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,823.26	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over	71c	39,999$28,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,599.61	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over	72c	6,944$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,944.44	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	28c	6,700$1,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,876	640	46.9%300 W · 340 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over	72c	6,111$4,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,711.11	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over	72c	6,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	130	46.2%60 W · 70 L	-4.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over	72c	2,083$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.33	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-5.3wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	28c	2,059$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.17	2,343	48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over	75c	1,814$1,361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.5	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.89	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	504	49.8%251 W · 253 L	+7.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under	23c	971.99$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.56	126	26.2%33 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under	30c	971.23$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.64	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over	72c	694.44$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.44	132	63.6%84 W · 48 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	31c	648.54$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.31	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over	74c	540.54$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.54	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	71c	500.12$357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.03	428	51.4%220 W · 208 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	56c	483.93$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.93	174	58.6%102 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over	67c	400$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Over	68c	365.45$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.45	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	69c	350$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.5	130	70.8%92 W · 38 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	72c	305.56$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.56	223	57%127 W · 96 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	50c	300$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under	29c	290.4$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.33	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over	72c	277.77$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.78	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	43c	272.85$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.99	1,798	51.4%924 W · 874 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	25c	250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	890	50%445 W · 445 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	25c	250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	1,038	48.1%499 W · 539 L	+17.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	25c	250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	1,081	50.6%547 W · 534 L	+11.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over	79c	250$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	45	80%36 W · 9 L	+6.8wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+27%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	25c	239.97$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	321	45.8%147 W · 174 L	-9.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	15c	207.56$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	278	50%139 W · 139 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under	29c	163.55$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Under	35c	141.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	140	28.6%40 W · 100 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over	52c	133.56$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.56	81	70.4%57 W · 24 L	+8.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	27c	132$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	1,566	51.6%808 W · 758 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Under	24c	125$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under	46c	117.7$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.72	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	66c	113.15$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.15	340	50%170 W · 170 L	+16.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+4.6wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	62c	100$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	627	44.3%278 W · 349 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	421	58%244 W · 177 L	+29.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5500…da1bbacked Over	69c	98.55$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.55	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under	30c	95.83$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.46	411	47.9%197 W · 214 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over	78c	93.92$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.66	147	59.2%87 W · 60 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over	74c	92$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.95	152	46.1%70 W · 82 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Under	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	31.2%29 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	48c	76.75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.84	170	44.1%75 W · 95 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	78c	64.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	247	57.5%142 W · 105 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	74c	60$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	110	66.4%73 W · 37 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under	24c	54.63$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.33	85	50.6%43 W · 42 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under	33c	49.32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.16	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under	29c	47.41$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	64	64.1%41 W · 23 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	29c	46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.34	791	33%261 W · 530 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	30c	45.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.41	121	52.9%64 W · 57 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…649dbacked Over	73c	42.59$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	27c	40.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	1,508	38.7%583 W · 925 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	142	59.9%85 W · 57 L	+10.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over	61c	40$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+23%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	55c	40$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	134	57.5%77 W · 57 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…bc9ebacked Under	42c	39$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	37c	38.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	616	57.8%356 W · 260 L	+42.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over	78c	38.46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	69	63.8%44 W · 25 L	+7.3wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	53c	37.7$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.72	596	55.4%330 W · 266 L	+31.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Over	76c	35.82$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-57%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	68cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc954…1c82backed Over	59c	33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.53	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	61cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05f…91d5backed Over	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over	75c	26.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.67	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed Over	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Over	67c	20.88$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.94	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	59cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e27…acccbacked Over	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	74cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.8	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over	75c	18.8$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.7	118	55.9%66 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…e949backed Over	76c	17.89$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.29	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over	73c	16.36$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.42	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5this page
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)Girona FC won
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Girona FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event