Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42250cd6a00c514cdf4c2bf3b0e637002438e0fface58a24a1c7bda1170b7470

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Nov 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $147,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $147,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,056 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	59c	42,766$25,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,340.05	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over	28c	17,140$4,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,863.32	110	29.1%32 W · 78 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Under	56c	12,000$6,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,279.93	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	47c	10,925$5,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,165.33	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	57c	10,654$6,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,562.82	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over	47c	10,000$4,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,661.65	99	46.5%46 W · 53 L	-6.6wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	57c	5,723$3,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,478.44	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	39c	4,462$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750.15	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x993f…e0e1backed Over	46c	4,356$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Over	46c	4,348$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under	58c	3,666$2,115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,551.08	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bb…98b3backed Over	47c	3,120$1,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,466.4	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…c8b0backed Under	56c	2,661$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160.72	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Over	42c	2,500$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Under	56c	2,221$1,244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$977.42	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-4.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over	45c	2,200$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	40c	2,187$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$867.21	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Over	48c	2,083$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4317…bd21backed Over	41c	1,617$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$670.84	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbce…8faabacked Over	65c	1,538$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	1,511$755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.57	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over	66c	1,500$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Under	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	175	44%77 W · 98 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Over	46c	999.17$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.62	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under	55c	800$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$360	409	53.3%218 W · 191 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over	45c	800$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Under	44c	685.36$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.8	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over	47c	638.3$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	123	45.5%56 W · 67 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over	47c	638.3$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e3…69d1backed Under	59c	621.58$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.85	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over	47c	600$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	54c	568.42$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.23	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over	47c	556.83$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.06	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb50a…3348backed Over	47c	546.17$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.7	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.5wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over	46c	543.48$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over	67c	534.42$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.06	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	53c	502.2$269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.69	492	54.9%270 W · 222 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	56c	499.99$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.99	218	39.4%86 W · 132 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over	46c	461.76$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.41	153	47.7%73 W · 80 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4def…1703backed Over	46c	428.74$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Over	47c	428.65$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae8…5794backed Over	56c	400.1$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over	47c	378.72$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	198	26.3%52 W · 146 L	-14.0wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Under	54c	370.37$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.37	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under	56c	357.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.14	103	43.7%45 W · 58 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Over	36c	349.99$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.5	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over	65c	307.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Over	65c	307.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	161	60.9%98 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	60c	300$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over	22c	300$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	293	43.7%128 W · 165 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff36backed Under	33c	300$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a58…c236backed Under	37c	300$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked Under	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over	46c	258.52$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.92	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0d…ff14backed Over	47c	250$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.5	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over	44c	250$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…490fbacked Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…4aaebacked Over	47c	211.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over	48c	206$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.88	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over	55c	200$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+146.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	50cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Over	46c	199.98$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.99	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over	46c	198.11$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Over	44c	186.36$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	89	25.8%23 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	44c	181.82$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Over	46c	173.91$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	32	65.6%21 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over	49c	165.14$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.92	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over	47c	159.57$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	80	30%24 W · 56 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over	44c	159.09$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	59	22%13 W · 46 L	-3.3wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Over	44c	154.63$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.63	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	49c	152.3$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.01	428	62.4%267 W · 161 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	46c	152.17$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed Over	35c	150$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	68c	147.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over	28c	142.86$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9345…3869backed Under	56c	141.73$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.36	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	66c	141.02$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.07	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5da4…422bbacked Over	65c	136.08$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.45	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under	75c	133.33$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.33	157	35.7%56 W · 101 L	+15.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b6c…e22bbacked Over	39c	130$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.7	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	55cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over	47c	127.66$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Over	41c	127.04$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.09	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Over	43c	124.26$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.43	53	47.2%25 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Under	61c	122.64$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.94	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over	46c	121.74$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Over	66c	120$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.2	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	-6.3wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-18%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x423d…c621backed Over	22c	115.94$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3893…6e0cbacked Over	46c	114.72$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.77	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571e…67b2backed Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x385e…3896backed Over	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	39%46 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6a…c984backed Over	47c	113.13$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.17	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e2…31e4backed Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…6296backed Over	46c	109.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	+3.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f3f…ae90backed Over	46c	108.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5this page
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 1.5Over won
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 3.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Chelsea won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event