Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39e81b5fa4678c791531472f3376e31182f0f8dea555b1c0d37991b1371dc3a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,497 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 13,211$4,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.58 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 3,079$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.55 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bd…c88dbacked Over | 66c | 3,017$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 2,593$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.94 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 27c | 2,312$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.47 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 1,888$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.6 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 112 | 68.8%77 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 29c | 908.35$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.57 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 59c | 850.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.64 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 17c | 767.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.07 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over | 69c | 639.83$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 76c | 552.63$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 67c | 298.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 53c | 289$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.73 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 54c | 268$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 30c | 263.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 57c | 261.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Over | 75c | 247.08$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8b…aa8dbacked Over | 75c | 245.96$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 41c | 245.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 16c | 234.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 62c | 232.78$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 23c | 229.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 220.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x027b…5587backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Over | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 40c | 157.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 149.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 43c | 138.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…7a2cbacked Over | 75c | 133.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 78c | 127.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 78c | 99.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 22c | 76.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 57c | 65.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Under | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 64c | 54.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 80c | 51.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 58c | 40.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…df66backed Over | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7c…a489backed Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Over | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 67c | 17.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Juventus FC won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Juventus FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.