TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,950 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over61c5,323$3,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.039350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under41c4,674$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.3916838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under75c2,801$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.953636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09d6…bfd6backed Under40c2,313$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c2,102$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.2393252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under39c1,493$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.2896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c1,364$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.7891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under40c1,150$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over60c929.26$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.140549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over43c890$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.747424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under41c779.42$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.744136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under40c750.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed Over57c688$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.844575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over40c625$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3757552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20014748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2085…dd27backed Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.84447.7%21 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over53c442.27$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.782429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over56c397$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.9214549.7%72 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over37c389.8$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.169937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under37c347.08$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c331.9$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7834643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over53c308$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.66863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over61c299$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.612650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.121090%9 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.48per pick42cpaid+123.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c261.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bae…e6c5backed Under39c256.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.752330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under40c249.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8738547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under39c249.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3242347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over61c246.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.049154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over56c235$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.358357.8%48 W · 35 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over45c225.14$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2138739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over61c220$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.871650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under44c219.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.542763%17 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c214.79$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.072,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1511127%30 W · 81 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under39c199.43$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.443638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under39c193.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3146047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over56c193.18$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.386956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Under37c189.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…039bbacked Over60c178.63$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.574553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59d0…8fa3backed Under41c170.91$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over61c163.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over62c161.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3617058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7312035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d4…302abacked Under41c154.54$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.36425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under43c149.43$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x76ce…d3ecbacked Over60c146.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+86.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61a…fc78backed Under39c142.25$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Under73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over53c130.89$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.522737%10 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2118055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under39c128.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d3…bd58backed Under40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4513142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc3f…efffbacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+91.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over31c109.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.23per pick24cpaid+44.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over68c109$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4911964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over43c103.6$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.053565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0411348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c30…0ac6backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503050%15 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.211460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.363441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over65c97.59$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5914351%73 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x403d…2709backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Over61c81.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.654348.8%21 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Over62c75.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2534553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over58c69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.987464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c67.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.537742.9%33 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.522576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc868…7bd7backed Over61c64.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0f…93cbbacked Over61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.383100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over61c56.32$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.973046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3c…37b8backed Over61c55.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce4c…d3d3backed Under40c52.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over63c52.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.48752.9%46 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over57c50.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.888242.7%35 W · 47 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under59c50.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.784261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under40c50.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1615259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27a2…7fafbacked Under40c49.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x959b…64edbacked Over61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over62c48.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4511955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.398965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db0…d7dbbacked Under40c48.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204845.8%22 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f57…770ebacked Under40c43.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.672356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Under39c43.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9810566.7%70 W · 35 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.