Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b7ef748926be5e053b4e748b779fe2699368bcd8a3d9a3c66100e919d12213d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- sleepersof sleepers, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c9f…069fbacked M80 | 2c | 6,096$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc63…f8bfbacked M80 | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed sleepers | 40c | 3,792$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.59 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed M80 | 34c | 2,623$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.02 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked M80 | 59c | 2,535$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed M80 | 8c | 2,000$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed sleepers | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed M80 | 59c | 1,031$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.47 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked M80 | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…5bc0backed M80 | 44c | 942.5$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed M80 | 59c | 735$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed sleepers | 52c | 717$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed sleepers | 56c | 670$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…360fbacked M80 | 48c | 642$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed sleepers | 41c | 611.1$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked sleepers | 43c | 610.25$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed sleepers | 41c | 586$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed sleepers | 52c | 580$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed sleepers | 53c | 531.77$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed sleepers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0367…1c15backed M80 | 48c | 457$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed sleepers | 58c | 443$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed M80 | 43c | 423$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed M80 | 38c | 417.07$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed M80 | 52c | 401$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed M80 | 58c | 369.48$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.93 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed M80 | 44c | 342$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed M80 | 48c | 332$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked M80 | 59c | 325$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…ca4fbacked sleepers | 41c | 325$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked M80 | 60c | 322$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4883…ce56backed sleepers | 40c | 322$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…d50abacked M80 | 64c | 310$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd07…0058backed M80 | 48c | 305$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed M80 | 44c | 291$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked sleepers | 52c | 278$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed M80 | 44c | 269$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked M80 | 59c | 269$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked sleepers | 57c | 266$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed M80 | 49c | 260$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked M80 | 48c | 256$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed M80 | 59c | 255.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked M80 | 56c | 252$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed sleepers | 56c | 232$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked M80 | 60c | 222.38$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked M80 | 59c | 207$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed sleepers | 68c | 194$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked M80 | 32c | 194$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…5110backed M80 | 58c | 189.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked sleepers | 43c | 145.4$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked sleepers | 53c | 142.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…c736backed M80 | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked sleepers | 52c | 114$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed sleepers | 49c | 102.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked M80 | 48c | 102$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked M80 | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…e73dbacked sleepers | 67c | 94.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef10…9268backed M80 | 59c | 73.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked sleepers | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x719e…f7ccbacked M80 | 57c | 70.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked sleepers | 52c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…9a19backed M80 | 60c | 54.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked sleepers | 75c | 47.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed sleepers | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed sleepers | 45c | 30.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed sleepers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked M80 | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked sleepers | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…02a4backed M80 | 63c | 26.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked sleepers | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed sleepers | 46c | 24.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked sleepers | 50c | 22.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…eba3backed M80 | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed M80 | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winnersleepers won
- Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 2 Winnersleepers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.