Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf34318adc50626d6daa450f8b48341a74f0810f360ba13197ec8375c7dca1e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- sleepersof sleepers, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd31…8004backed M80 | 0c | 10,007$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked M80 | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked sleepers | 12c | 1,362$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked M80 | 44c | 1,120$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed M80 | 16c | 877.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed M80 | 48c | 803$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203f…f7a5backed sleepers | 52c | 736$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed sleepers | 56c | 638$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed M80 | 48c | 558$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked sleepers | 53c | 427$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed M80 | 47c | 401$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed sleepers | 56c | 388$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed M80 | 42c | 327.98$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.05 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked sleepers | 52c | 287$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf888…1c04backed sleepers | 52c | 271$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed M80 | 47c | 157$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed sleepers | 53c | 131$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed sleepers | 56c | 94$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed M80 | 15c | 76.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed sleepers | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked sleepers | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee3…9a19backed M80 | 58c | 37.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M80 | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked sleepers | 45c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffssleepers won
- Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 2 Winnersleepers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.