La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3441c08821b81b841cce730a1e17fdece7f519ae759de6c8be8bc1f4e2d72608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $346,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,854 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 61c | 147,933$89,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,759.67 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 43c | 48,332$20,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,630.08 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 46,181$19,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,936.53 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 39c | 18,930$7,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,508.9 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 39c | 13,519$5,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,191.52 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 57c | 10,480$5,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.05 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes | 27c | 7,148$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,213.98 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed No | 60c | 7,052$4,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,231.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 22c | 6,682$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.91 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 5,507$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.66 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 41c | 4,688$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.1 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 44c | 4,510$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 34c | 4,335$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.47 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 3,822$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.22 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 40c | 3,333$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.8 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 60c | 2,439$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.44 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 2,408$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.47 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 60c | 2,324$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.46 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 40c | 2,279$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.48 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9913…21cfbacked Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Yes | 39c | 2,222$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.42 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 59c | 2,024$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.99 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed No | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 73c | 1,528$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.7 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 37c | 1,514$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.83 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 39c | 1,358$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.12 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 40c | 1,283$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.79 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f6…21bebacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 26c | 1,103$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.22 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 40c | 1,094$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.46 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 40c | 1,094$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.45 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 14c | 1,059$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…7670backed Yes | 40c | 905$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 21c | 861$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.19 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 32c | 821.96$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.92 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…aacbbacked Yes | 41c | 756.1$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.1 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 750$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 42c | 743.94$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.49 | 502 | 49.6%249 W · 253 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 58c | 599.97$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.99 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 42c | 574.44$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.33 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 26c | 552$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…bea0backed Yes | 47c | 529.56$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ed…e29fbacked No | 13c | 511.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 474.65$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.88 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 47c | 450.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.4 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed No | 58c | 430.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 395.74$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 42c | 390$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…7659backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 56c | 372$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.11 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 39c | 353.65$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.73 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 39c | 349.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.26 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 58c | 346.98$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed No | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 30c | 333.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.67 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 57c | 329.48$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.03 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 24c | 328.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.6 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 22c | 326$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 41c | 317.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 42c | 312.62$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +163.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…8527backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…69d4backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb48b…04ebbacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 36c | 299.96$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 42c | 291.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 39c | 266.8$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 59c | 266.07$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 44c | 245.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 26c | 239.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…eff1backed No | 75c | 233.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 40c | 227.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.62 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed Yes | 40c | 223.24$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked No | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 57c | 209.71$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 39c | 204.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.07 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Yes | 39c | 202$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Yes | 40c | 197.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked Yes | 40c | 196$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c18…ab90backed Yes | 40c | 195$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 32c | 174.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.6 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 35c | 171.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.57 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 12c | 170$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-04?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.