NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa913433dbc5be3f46a12b80bc2225ada013f607de4a5c8f685c1812ad7f4476b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 14,731$7,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,912.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 45c | 9,256$4,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.59 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 47c | 5,693$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.55 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 47c | 5,055$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 54c | 3,735$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 3,520$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 47c | 2,340$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Under | 48c | 1,854$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.04 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Under | 47c | 1,745$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.77 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 1,506$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.49 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,314$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 68c | 1,064$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.87 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 55c | 900.78$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 845.38$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.96 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 48c | 500.38$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Over | 52c | 384.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 61c | 228.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 51c | 208.23$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 187.59$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 154.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 53c | 125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 53c | 121$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c6…fde6backed Under | 39c | 114.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Under | 46c | 108.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Over | 53c | 106.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 400 | 48.3%193 W · 207 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 48c | 61.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Under | 47c | 60.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 47c | 54.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over | 55c | 50.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 48.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 57c | 46.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 45.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…35f3backed Under | 45c | 44.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 61c | 39.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Over | 57c | 39.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 43c | 39.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Over | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 47c | 34.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 45c | 30.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…e2f4backed Over | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed95…889cbacked Under | 47c | 28.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Under | 47c | 27.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 47c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…6e14backed Over | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…65cfbacked Under | 77c | 21.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 55c | 20.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.