NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9bbf2fa98973d392dc4435fbf0c5278ddd11b2a033f55def3b0237ebf46757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Warriors, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,107,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,123,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,107,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 51c | 567,119$289,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289,230.7 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed 76ers | 49c | 514,814$250,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264,341.1 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Warriors | 52c | 200,000$104,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,999.99 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 76ers | 49c | 186,360$91,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,043.49 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed 76ers | 49c | 79,847$39,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,463.67 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed 76ers | 49c | 42,816$20,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,946.62 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked 76ers | 49c | 30,867$15,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,742.38 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 50c | 29,344$14,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,811.54 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Warriors | 50c | 28,071$14,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,134.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 50c | 22,979$11,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,549.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked 76ers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 50c | 19,358$9,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.34 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed 76ers | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Warriors | 52c | 14,038$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,300 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked 76ers | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.61 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked 76ers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked 76ers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed 76ers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed 76ers | 50c | 8,263$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.47 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Warriors | 51c | 7,820$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Warriors | 52c | 7,815$4,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,062 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked 76ers | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,059.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed 76ers | 48c | 5,923$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed 76ers | 49c | 5,900$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Warriors | 51c | 5,784$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Warriors | 51c | 5,690$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed 76ers | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Warriors | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Warriors | 51c | 3,960$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.79 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…d720backed Warriors | 51c | 3,393$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 50c | 3,370$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.81 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed 76ers | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked 76ers | 50c | 2,736$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.93 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Warriors | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…ee84backed Warriors | 48c | 2,315$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked 76ers | 50c | 2,222$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 53c | 2,088$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked 76ers | 49c | 2,027$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.53 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…bc09backed 76ers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 49c | 1,660$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed 76ers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 49c | 1,042$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked 76ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Warriors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed 76ers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed 76ers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed Warriors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Warriors | 51c | 973.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Warriors | 50c | 842.13$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.03 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers | 48c | 832.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.16 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked 76ers | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Warriors | 51c | 813.73$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…ed8fbacked Warriors | 52c | 781.5$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.2 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed 76ers | 48c | 670.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.92 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked 76ers | 50c | 637.1$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.55 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed 76ers | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Warriors | 51c | 575.71$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked 76ers | 48c | 566.67$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.67 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Warriors | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…8ea4backed 76ers | 55c | 541.82$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.82 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 45c | 523.08$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.69 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed 76ers | 50c | 515.45$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.7 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed 76ers | 50c | 510.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.1 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked 76ers | 49c | 510$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.1 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed 76ers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Warriors | 50c | 421.05$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.01 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Warriors | 51c | 409.07$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.63 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed 76ers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed 76ers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…3e7ebacked 76ers | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed 76ers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Warriors | 53c | 377.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Warriors | 51c | 355.18$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…dbf9backed 76ers | 49c | 348.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 43c | 347.37$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked 76ers | 57c | 347.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed 76ers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed 76ers | 49c | 299.77$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb007…7f04backed Warriors | 51c | 262.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1369…a213backed Warriors | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…7017backed Warriors | 53c | 245.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed 76ers | 49c | 237.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Warriors | 50c | 221.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed 76ers | 50c | 207.4$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc871…7d99backed 76ers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 468 | 26.5%124 W · 344 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…7f28backed 76ers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked 76ers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…b5e8backed 76ers | 50c | 200.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Warriors | 50c | 200.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked 76ers | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked 76ers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed 76ers | 50c | 197.84$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.92 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e8…72ccbacked Warriors | 51c | 188.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -9.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed 76ers | 49c | 175.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.49 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
- De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
- Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-2.5)76ers won
- Spread: Warriors (-3.5)76ers won
- VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.