NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5ac143818c1eece01f04d10e977b25c65637477cf9fc26d9a8fb9c76c31acf4

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $29,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,264

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	49c	8,145$4,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,124.59	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	50c	4,830$2,415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,415	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over	50c	4,480$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,240	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed Under	43c	2,500$1,075 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over	51c	1,948$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	120	51.7%62 W · 58 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	51c	1,870$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	1,651$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.47	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	45c	1,527$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.39	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aba…4961backed Under	47c	1,500$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Over	57c	1,168$666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.71	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	46c	1,106$509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$597	293	52.6%154 W · 139 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Under	49c	1,025$497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.48	196	47.4%93 W · 103 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over	54c	972.99$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.42	560	43.9%246 W · 314 L	-31.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	49c	770.55$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.86	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	48c	753.24$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.3	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under	45c	538$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.9	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	43c	484$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.88	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	59c	322.03$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	46c	318.98$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.41	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over	56c	246.43$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	49c	225.97$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.76	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under	45c	220.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.31	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over	50c	213.01$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.38	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	204.34$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.3	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	54c	203.75$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.97	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	249	46.6%116 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	410	52%213 W · 197 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	201	49.8%100 W · 101 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under	50c	199.38$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.69	950	47.2%448 W · 502 L	-28.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	50c	180$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under	43c	170.45$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.16	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Over	50c	170$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over	55c	135$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	591	44.5%263 W · 328 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe82…7056backed Under	50c	133.14$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.57	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over	50c	125$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	48c	121.92$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.02	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	48c	117.65$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.72	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe124…9d4ebacked Over	65c	106$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.02	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdad9…91b2backed Under	50c	106$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e6…7dc4backed Over	51c	103.27$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.67	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	160	52.5%84 W · 76 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	413	54%223 W · 190 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0aa…6818backed Over	51c	97.06$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over	11c	94.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.38	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	50c	92.84$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.7	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Over	57c	91.55$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd125…f654backed Over	56c	80.36$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	50cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Over	51c	78.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	85	58.8%50 W · 35 L	+8.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+17%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed Over	51c	72$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	212	43.4%92 W · 120 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	67c	67.97$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.54	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32e8…72ccbacked Over	51c	66.67$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-9.8wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x8b5b…6e14backed Under	46c	54.35$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.35	58	53.4%31 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51aa…f9c9backed Over	56c	53.57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x930b…d91cbacked Over	23c	51.96$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.95	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x920b…c3d4backed Over	57c	45.96$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.5wins	-0.32per pick	57cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11de…4e67backed Under	50c	43.32$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.66	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Over	55c	41.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.89	493	58.6%289 W · 204 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Over	51c	41.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over	56c	39.72$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.24	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9882…4dddbacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.29per pick	54cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfdb…f0a5backed Over	51c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Under	44c	34.09$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.09	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-16.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over	50c	31.35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	530	43.8%232 W · 298 L	-25.4wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	43c	30.02$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.11	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4b…9f51backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.0wins	-0.23per pick	54cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Over	57c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	173	49.1%85 W · 88 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ab4…50acbacked Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e7…ab94backed Under	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	44	36.4%16 W · 28 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	43c	29.58$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.86	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e6…86ecbacked Over	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over	52c	28.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	226	55.3%125 W · 101 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2905…18a9backed Over	51c	28.35$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over	51c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.28	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Over	51c	26.92$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	279	43%120 W · 159 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b0…b331backed Over	50c	26$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over	51c	23.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	42	31%13 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e3…a336backed Over	51c	21.76$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-6.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x494d…0b08backed Over	56c	21.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	55cpaid	-49%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7109…a765backed Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	71	54.9%39 W · 32 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)76ers won
76ers vs. Warriors76ers won
76ers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Under won
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)76ers won
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)76ers won
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)76ers won
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)76ers won
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event