NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd42048055bdc395670e3a50d2158c2eb9992efe3cf3cd1251f9410785df668fe

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,282
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $37,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,282 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Under	42c	5,266$2,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,048.04	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over	64c	2,905$1,854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,854	46	54.3%25 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	45c	2,397$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,082.02	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	31c	2,274$704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,570.24	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd501…b86ebacked Over	35c	1,907$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.41	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under	35c	1,729$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.52	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over	65c	1,541$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	35c	1,500$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$970	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	32c	1,301$412 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$889.57	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over	3c	999.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	679	21.4%145 W · 534 L	+32.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+33.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under	39c	982.31$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.97	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under	30c	967$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$679.64	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Over	3c	917.65$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.51	250	16.8%42 W · 208 L	-13.1wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb427…08a9backed Over	71c	794.47$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	52c	678.37$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.57	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	36c	641.9$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.09	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Over	56c	609.35$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.24	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-8.7wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x685e…6f30backed Over	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	107	57.9%62 W · 45 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Over	17c	499.87$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30af…c754backed Over	66c	425$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.05	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.8wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	40c	393.06$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.91	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x135b…2c6dbacked Over	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+51.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Under	62c	342.08$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.6	248	46.8%116 W · 132 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	42c	338.51$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.24	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under	45c	337.95$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.87	1,029	47.7%491 W · 538 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	30c	337.73$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under	76c	330$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.8	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2090…2246backed Over	8c	321.93$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.6wins	-0.21per pick	38cpaid	-67.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	314.97$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.93	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	304.5$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.52	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under	47c	302.82$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.41	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under	39c	302.28$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.01	146	36.3%53 W · 93 L	+16.4wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Over	60c	300$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over	71c	262.21$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.46	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fee…5a90backed Over	15c	246.32$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	62	64.5%40 W · 22 L	+5.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	42c	240.62$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.01	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01bd…8357backed Over	70c	224.86$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.73	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	-7.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over	10c	222.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.21	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	+8.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over	10c	219.9$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.99	557	51.9%289 W · 268 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	45c	189.17$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.04	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec97…a32ebacked Over	64c	186.88$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over	55c	181$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.55	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	18c	177.78$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	216	42.1%91 W · 125 L	-15.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Over	14c	173.04$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	473	49%232 W · 241 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over	63c	159.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Under	39c	140$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.4	432	46.1%199 W · 233 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Over	61c	130$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.6	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-4.0wins	-0.27per pick	54cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	45c	111.96$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.73	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	40c	108.88$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.53	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3948…f81bbacked Over	11c	105.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Over	70c	85.9$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.13	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…b8cabacked Over	61c	81.97$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	133	52.6%70 W · 63 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Over	65c	75.82$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	358	51.7%185 W · 173 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Over	70c	65.14$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.38	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	59cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Over	61c	65.08$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	236	44.1%104 W · 132 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under	47c	63.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.68	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over	64c	60.3$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.69	175	47.4%83 W · 92 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over	71c	60$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	364	53%193 W · 171 L	-17.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63dd…c279backed Over	55c	60$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	92	59.8%55 W · 37 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	60c	54.5$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.03	1,170	50.3%588 W · 582 L	+46.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2157…3db0backed Over	38c	53.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over	61c	50.82$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa952…14a5backed Over	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-4.5wins	-0.20per pick	52cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	28c	44.31$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under	41c	44$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.96	712	45.8%326 W · 386 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71f8…280cbacked Over	70c	40$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.8	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under	44c	36.39$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	666	46.8%312 W · 354 L	-29.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeccd…d68abacked Under	41c	30.3$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.78	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under	39c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	508	41.7%212 W · 296 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Over	66c	29.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x954b…c3dbbacked Over	80c	28$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over	64c	27.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	415	56.9%236 W · 179 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Under	43c	23.7$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.62	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	61c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f2…1640backed Over	70c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd6e…453abacked Over	65c	16.92$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5this page
1H Spread: Warriors (-0.5)76ers won
76ers vs. Warriors76ers won
76ers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline76ers won
76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 220.5Under won
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Under won
Andre Drummond: Rebounds O/U 9.5Yes won
De'Anthony Melton: Points O/U 14.5No won
Draymond Green: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Assists O/U 1.5Yes won
Kelly Oubre Jr.: Points O/U 16.5No won
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)76ers won
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)76ers won
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)76ers won
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)76ers won
VJ Edgecombe: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event