TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Clara Tauson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katie Boulterof Katie Boulter, Clara Tauson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$153,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,365 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba81…dc35backed Clara Tauson59c13,836$8,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,125.8922242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Katie Boulter61c10,030$6,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Clara Tauson68c9,510$6,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,462.079855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Clara Tauson65c8,146$5,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,269.3956757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Katie Boulter27c6,526$1,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,778.681,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Katie Boulter37c5,600$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,527.9733955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Clara Tauson65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481d…9098backed Katie Boulter35c4,400$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,859.984757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed Katie Boulter34c4,197$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.93959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katie Boulter44c4,099$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.426,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Clara Tauson77c3,896$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00042558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x354f…3091backed Katie Boulter41c3,632$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.212850%14 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Katie Boulter56c3,325$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.3780938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Katie Boulter62c3,011$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.3148453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Katie Boulter44c2,990$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.488,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clara Tauson68c2,640$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.672,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clara Tauson59c2,215$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.142,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Katie Boulter32c2,012$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.561,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Katie Boulter51c1,899$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.332,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Katie Boulter34c1,800$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.9746932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Clara Tauson68c1,785$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.349242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Katie Boulter32c1,743$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.486,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Clara Tauson69c1,602$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Katie Boulter35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9753868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Katie Boulter24c1,472$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.8568026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Katie Boulter42c1,423$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.5150731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Katie Boulter32c1,305$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.452,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Katie Boulter24c1,250$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Katie Boulter35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6504,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Clara Tauson1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cc1…f823backed Katie Boulter30c980$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Clara Tauson61c927.82$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.037,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Clara Tauson67c923.88$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61915862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Clara Tauson67c888$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.9645457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Clara Tauson42c855.16$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6922634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0673…0c27backed Clara Tauson64c836.94$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.251258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Katie Boulter36c832.55$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.521,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Katie Boulter45c822$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.872,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Clara Tauson47c800$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37928451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Clara Tauson47c799.99$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37639438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Clara Tauson65c752.28$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0417646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Clara Tauson44c729.55$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32111935.3%42 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Katie Boulter37c728.76$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.7522033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Katie Boulter20c710.56$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.5637351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Clara Tauson64c700$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.8933241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Katie Boulter36c645.6$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4124,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Clara Tauson63c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40053058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f95…6972backed Clara Tauson58c617.38$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.713228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Clara Tauson11c596.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.74,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Clara Tauson63c579.72$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2278152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa08…d98abacked Katie Boulter63c552.02$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0424962.2%155 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Clara Tauson58c531.85$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31020758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Katie Boulter35c530.41$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3457,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Clara Tauson51c507.04$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.973,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f2…a822backed Clara Tauson65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32511158.6%65 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Clara Tauson65c464.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x192c…b6cdbacked Katie Boulter37c437.51$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.383053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Clara Tauson60c413.93$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.339,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Katie Boulter25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30021448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Katie Boulter35c400$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2611553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Katie Boulter35c399.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9959348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Clara Tauson77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe0…d377backed Clara Tauson63c377$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.51757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Clara Tauson54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Katie Boulter53c365.2$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.646,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Clara Tauson63c352.54$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.148552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Clara Tauson5c351.58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8625957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Clara Tauson64c350$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Katie Boulter57c345.79$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9918548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Clara Tauson44c342.8$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048144.5%214 W · 267 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Clara Tauson3c336.95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4845147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed Clara Tauson64c323.38$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.965660.7%34 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Clara Tauson63c320$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.65250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Katie Boulter36c312$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6860856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Clara Tauson47c305.43$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.553938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Katie Boulter49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15358021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Katie Boulter34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19829636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Katie Boulter35c288.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.257,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Clara Tauson56c274.01$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.524654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Katie Boulter39c259.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4528541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Clara Tauson65c253.09$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16535268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Clara Tauson55c251$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1737342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Katie Boulter32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Katie Boulter37c246.53$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.281,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Clara Tauson33c233.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7817930.7%55 W · 124 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Clara Tauson66c207.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2796755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed Katie Boulter34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324047.5%19 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+34.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Katie Boulter36c199.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.995933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clara Tauson23c193.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Clara Tauson63c178.55$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7455660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Katie Boulter64c173.58$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.491,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Clara Tauson63c170.52$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.431,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Clara Tauson39c167$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Clara Tauson63c166.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.181,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Katie Boulter37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1621149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Clara Tauson63c159$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1738268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Clara Tauson65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012944.2%57 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe062…61fdbacked Clara Tauson62c153.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Clara Tauson66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Clara Tauson64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.