Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83a50a85184299cdcea5f05fd253f6c4383bb1e3c2ce45f7fc2c502e6665d83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCAM Esports Clubof Natus Vincere, UCAM Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked UCAM Esports Club | 33c | 1,466$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.22 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 581.02$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.5 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 555$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UCAM Esports Club | 80c | 474.64$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 376.42$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.69 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Natus Vincere | 23c | 262$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed UCAM Esports Club | 32c | 240$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 236$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…34debacked UCAM Esports Club | 27c | 214.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 198.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed UCAM Esports Club | 27c | 165$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 150.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 113.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 102$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed UCAM Esports Club | 18c | 90$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 86.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCAM Esports Club | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 37c | 70$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed UCAM Esports Club | 31c | 67.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 57c | 63.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 49.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 39.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UCAM Esports Club | 35c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0128…d18abacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 25.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…b37fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 61c | 20.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…472bbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 18.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…ae3ebacked Natus Vincere | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCT EMEA Clash Group Alphathis page
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs UCAM Esports Club - Map 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.