Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c47418e5cc66d915ce6332d026d464a7a5d7b0a63ff91a4968c314ed5283cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- sleepersof sleepers, NRG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG Academy | 1c | 9,317$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked sleepers | 62c | 5,485$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.9 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed NRG Academy | 40c | 4,351$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.47 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed sleepers | 60c | 3,568$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.13 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed NRG Academy | 38c | 1,750$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.02 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed sleepers | 76c | 1,704$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked sleepers | 67c | 1,397$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.8 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed NRG Academy | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked NRG Academy | 34c | 951$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.11 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed NRG Academy | 33c | 904$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.23 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG Academy | 17c | 869.33$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed NRG Academy | 38c | 775.74$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed NRG Academy | 38c | 764$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.32 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG Academy | 24c | 681.79$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked sleepers | 69c | 545.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed NRG Academy | 33c | 459.32$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.3 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked NRG Academy | 14c | 441.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.85 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed sleepers | 61c | 408.24$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked NRG Academy | 38c | 380$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked sleepers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed NRG Academy | 39c | 310$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked NRG Academy | 38c | 302.82$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed sleepers | 69c | 302.13$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked NRG Academy | 13c | 276$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed NRG Academy | 16c | 273.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed NRG Academy | 42c | 215.69$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG Academy | 38c | 202.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed NRG Academy | 38c | 199.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed NRG Academy | 39c | 178.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +66%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed sleepers | 66c | 135.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9b…71f8backed NRG Academy | 38c | 123.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.01 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ba6dbacked NRG Academy | 39c | 119.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG Academy | 30c | 110.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed NRG Academy | 27c | 105.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…98ddbacked NRG Academy | 40c | 101.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed sleepers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked sleepers | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked NRG Academy | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed NRG Academy | 39c | 85.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG Academy | 16c | 84.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed sleepers | 61c | 80.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked sleepers | 64c | 80.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked NRG Academy | 25c | 79.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed sleepers | 63c | 75.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked sleepers | 69c | 75.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed sleepers | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed NRG Academy | 38c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed sleepers | 65c | 56.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG Academy | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed sleepers | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…fc7abacked sleepers | 66c | 52.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed NRG Academy | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed NRG Academy | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked NRG Academy | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fa…1125backed sleepers | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked NRG Academy | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…e79fbacked NRG Academy | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed NRG Academy | 38c | 46.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…9a00backed sleepers | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed sleepers | 66c | 37.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…d487backed NRG Academy | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked NRG Academy | 41c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed sleepers | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked NRG Academy | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb8…71f0backed NRG Academy | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed sleepers | 71c | 28.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winnersleepers won
- Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winnersleepers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.