NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5f03e6c060edd1f4860dc517b1b419084b594fe7b54b1453bd626609f2837fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Under | 49c | 11,429$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.57 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 8,679$4,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,426.15 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 48c | 6,269$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,259.87 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 4,591$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.52 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Over | 50c | 3,993$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.33 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 3,155$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.34 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 2,578$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,532$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 2,403$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…0b14backed Under | 50c | 1,768$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb240…df51backed Over | 50c | 1,659$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 1,224$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…642fbacked Over | 51c | 1,126$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,070$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 1c | 1,002$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…0b63backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 785.71$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.71 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…93ccbacked Over | 52c | 650$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 53c | 605.66$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.66 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 52c | 498.52$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.36 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 51c | 421.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…9845backed Over | 51c | 401.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 52c | 366.75$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.74 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 50c | 305$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…34a4backed Over | 52c | 273.08$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f1…fc6ebacked Over | 10c | 233.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 213.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…b2b6backed Over | 51c | 156.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 54c | 122.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…83dfbacked Over | 49c | 117.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Over | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…c5cdbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…cb96backed Over | 51c | 97.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under | 50c | 96.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 50c | 89.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Under | 53c | 86.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9a9bbacked Over | 51c | 74.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 47c | 61.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…0aaebacked Over | 52c | 59.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…496abacked Over | 51c | 56.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8a…4b6cbacked Over | 52c | 43.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462f…b977backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Under | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 52c | 36.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 53c | 35.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…788abacked Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 52c | 30.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 48c | 30.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 48c | 28.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 28.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 50c | 21.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…6bf2backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -10.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Pistons vs. HornetsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.