NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09c2eb769d2897a9df5ee466f226f0058ae3bcb0f100c9e0cb7faf51c9f6a29c

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Hornets
Resolved: Feb 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $644,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $654,207

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $644,394 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons	47c	534,962$251,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283,654.6	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Hornets	53c	317,932$168,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168,503.72	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets	53c	100,000$53,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,000	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hornets	53c	35,068$18,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,585.88	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets	53c	33,228$17,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,666.41	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Hornets	53c	20,002$10,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,600.98	596	53.4%318 W · 278 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Pistons	46c	15,892$7,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,581.65	293	51.5%151 W · 142 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Hornets	53c	10,650$5,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,644.5	207	44.9%93 W · 114 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hornets	54c	7,419$4,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,001.93	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hornets	53c	6,036$3,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,219.45	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Hornets	54c	6,000$3,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,240	197	47.7%94 W · 103 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Hornets	53c	4,843$2,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,585.31	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Hornets	54c	4,630$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	100	45%45 W · 55 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-20%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets	52c	4,222$2,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,195.42	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets	53c	4,096$2,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,170.91	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a47…0c54backed Pistons	49c	4,085$1,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,101.42	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Hornets	54c	3,740$2,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.59	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Hornets	54c	3,704$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000.18	72	40.3%29 W · 43 L	-6.9wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Hornets	53c	3,678$1,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,949.26	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Hornets	54c	3,415$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,844	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Hornets	53c	3,170$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680.1	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets	53c	2,842$1,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.46	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Pistons	46c	2,826$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,526.09	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Hornets	54c	2,778$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Pistons	47c	2,700$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,430.81	151	41.1%62 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Pistons	48c	2,613$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,358.5	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Pistons	46c	2,492$1,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,335.86	62	58.1%36 W · 26 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Pistons	46c	2,250$1,035 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,214.98	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Hornets	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060	339	45.1%153 W · 186 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Hornets	37c	1,700$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.99	289	29.4%85 W · 204 L	-13.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0db…f902backed Pistons	47c	1,694$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.98	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hornets	54c	1,667$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	478	56.7%271 W · 207 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Hornets	53c	1,645$871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$870.69	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Hornets	53c	1,514$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.35	226	43.8%99 W · 127 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Pistons	47c	1,404$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$744.26	434	53.2%231 W · 203 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Hornets	45c	1,400$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	666	45.9%306 W · 360 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Pistons	47c	1,383$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$732.98	324	50.6%164 W · 160 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets	53c	1,328$704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703.76	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Hornets	53c	1,277$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677	404	51.5%208 W · 196 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	50c	1,101$554 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$547.16	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hornets	53c	1,068$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.64	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Pistons	48c	1,044$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.81	54	68.5%37 W · 17 L	+9.4wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Pistons	46c	999.99$460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons	47c	999.92$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$529.83	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Pistons	47c	900$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$477	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	44cpaid	+47.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Pistons	48c	800$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Hornets	53c	790$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.7	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1da3…2f94backed Hornets	54c	742.29$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets	54c	740.93$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	364	49.7%181 W · 183 L	-11.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons	52c	686.41$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.04	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Hornets	53c	675.25$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	270	52.6%142 W · 128 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Pistons	48c	625$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$325	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53aa…07fcbacked Pistons	48c	600$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311	90	51.1%46 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eda…93ccbacked Hornets	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Pistons	47c	468.15$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.12	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Hornets	54c	464$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.56	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Hornets	55c	441.29$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.71	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Pistons	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Pistons	47c	410.3$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.46	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pistons	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pistons	75c	400$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,522	49.6%755 W · 767 L	+27.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Hornets	50c	381.54$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.77	183	45.9%84 W · 99 L	-16.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Pistons	53c	378.57$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.57	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons	79c	375.33$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.59	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Pistons	46c	323.01$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.43	382	51%195 W · 187 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Hornets	54c	317.93$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.68	927	50.6%469 W · 458 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Hornets	52c	317.93$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.32	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Hornets	53c	301.89$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons	47c	301.49$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.79	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hornets	50c	289.41$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.71	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Hornets	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	253	47%119 W · 134 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Hornets	54c	277.77$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Hornets	53c	256.6$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	231	43.3%100 W · 131 L	-13.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Hornets	48c	222.54$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.82	558	46.8%261 W · 297 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c9…2669backed Pistons	46c	222.51$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.98	68	47.1%32 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Hornets	49c	220.39$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.78	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ed…66f7backed Pistons	46c	219.46$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.51	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Hornets	54c	217.71$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.74	243	32.9%80 W · 163 L	-22.7wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d35…7618backed Pistons	47c	212.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.77	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…1b16backed Hornets	55c	209.09$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	112	50%56 W · 56 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Hornets	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Hornets	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Pistons	45c	199.98$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.99	293	46.4%136 W · 157 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Hornets	52c	197.25$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.57	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hornets	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Hornets	52c	192.3$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	634	47.5%301 W · 333 L	-19.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets	54c	190$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x757f…8ea5backed Hornets	54c	185.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Hornets	55c	183.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.98	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Hornets	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	179	40.2%72 W · 107 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Pistons	53c	181.75$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.42	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Hornets	57c	170.81$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.53	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hornets	53c	159.65$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.62	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons	45c	149.15$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.39	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Hornets	68c	147.42$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	619	57.5%356 W · 263 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Hornets	54c	143.75$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.42	213	57.7%123 W · 90 L	+10.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d89…e466backed Hornets	55c	131.98$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.59	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-5.9wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Hornets	55c	127.27$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	722	50.6%365 W · 357 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Pistons	55c	123.38$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.97	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Brandon Miller: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 17.5Yes won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5No won
LaMelo Ball: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5No won
Miles Bridges: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Pistons vs. HornetsPistons won
Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Pistons vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 221.5Under won
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 222.5Under won
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 223.5Under won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event