Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9208d3c555bbeca644dabf39ff5b36defaff14ba77165bc39351cb736e6547f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cirsteaof Gauff, Cirstea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,360 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Cirstea | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Gauff | 37c | 914.15$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.24 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gauff | 3c | 912.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gauff | 70c | 912.75$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.7 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Cirstea | 29c | 714.69$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.34 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cirstea | 59c | 476.53$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.45 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gauff | 43c | 466.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Cirstea | 63c | 199.13$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Cirstea | 68c | 180.12$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…a98cbacked Cirstea | 62c | 157.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gauff | 37c | 102.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Gauff | 55c | 99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Gauff | 38c | 82.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Cirstea | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…4954backed Cirstea | 62c | 75.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 105 | 70.5%74 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Gauff | 38c | 72.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Gauff | 52c | 62.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…1661backed Gauff | 39c | 51.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Gauff | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cirstea | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…7dd8backed Gauff | 38c | 42.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Gauff | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Cirstea | 55c | 34.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Cirstea | 62c | 32.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…67e2backed Cirstea | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Cirstea | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Gauff | 39c | 28.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Gauff | 38c | 27.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Cirstea | 44c | 26.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…b511backed Cirstea | 63c | 23.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cirstea | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5)this page
- Cirstea vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
- Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs GauffGauff won
- Sorana Cirstea vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.