TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,095

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,095 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0792…b778backed Under44c137,571$60,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,594.342740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over56c30,339$16,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,9904139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over56c27,578$15,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,422.4271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c13,180$7,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,226.091,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Over56c12,000$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,719.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over55c9,034$4,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,966.9715048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over55c7,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8502751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over56c5,597$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over55c4,657$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.3362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Under44c4,441$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.577529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over55c4,090$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Over55c3,202$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.11844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6505060%30 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c2,621$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.0321144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c2,023$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.741464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under44c1,645$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over55c1,400$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.0931049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over56c1,262$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.729747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over55c1,182$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65019055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over56c1,080$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.652352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over55c955$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.259553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over55c879.71$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.844755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4403148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over48c781.25$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Over56c600$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over57c523.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over55c454$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.76334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over55c449.21$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9810948.6%53 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over53c378.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Over56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c345$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.412839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over55c342.05$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.132347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over56c338$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7615455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1659752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.963636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over55c260$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.13847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.57163.4%45 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13027748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Over57c245$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over55c220$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12111256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over56c199.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over55c199.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+43.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under42c199.98$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.994050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over56c192.86$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003560%21 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xac8c…9f1fbacked Under49c191.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ad8…01e9backed Under49c179.97$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over56c178.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad8…8944backed Under46c174$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c167.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7259348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over55c155.79$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.194965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5862…aeaebacked Under46c155$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.520860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c148.73$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over56c144.64$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813557.1%20 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick70cpaid-21.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over13c144.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.788333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over26c134$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.444257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over25c134$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.153644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over56c130.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9114247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under45c129.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669354.8%51 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668755.2%48 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610556.2%59 W · 46 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over56c109.78$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.579256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf56b…dcb2backed Over57c108.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over52c106.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over33c106.06$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c102.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.389450%47 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c9d…1299backed Under50c100.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Under44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.993441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under43c95.43$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.391838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over55c90.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Over56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.43759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.