TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Toulouse FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,126

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,126 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No49c5,980$2,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.891,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes60c2,964$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.379747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c2,903$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.4387344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes56c2,683$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No39c935.48$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.5321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No40c799.96$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.971735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No40c683$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.7621144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes49c592.13$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.5915048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes51c587.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Yes60c546.53$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No46c506.91$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0845233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes50c495.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes60c416.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes61c368.3$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.665046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa793…2bb7backed Yes60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes61c278.69$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No39c257.17$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.629949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes29c250.98$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.786334.9%22 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No43c249.16$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8759348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes59c224.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.752944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes60c217.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed No49c204.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-48.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Yes60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x142e…f6e4backed Yes60c197$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.21225%3 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa308…94b9backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes59c177.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdc…0ddebacked Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes30c166.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501520%3 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No60c136.5$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.953855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes60c130.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes27c129.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a70…cba6backed Yes51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes59c107$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes60c100.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Yes60c100.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.12138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd10e…18dfbacked Yes59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No51c99.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.454141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Yes53c98.47$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c93.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4535037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Yes55c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.54131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes34c84.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes59c73$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0713844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes28c70.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Yes50c67.57$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.792352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe851…9471backed Yes61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d1c…afe2backed Yes61c65.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-57.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes55c64.77$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.626549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f1c…27acbacked No41c59.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes24c56.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7816224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5142…ee20backed Yes55c56.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No40c56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8646450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed No72c55.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed No54c52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed No59c50.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.954965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x609f…ada6backed Yes59c50.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302528%7 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0505…7271backed Yes60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes61c47.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.98771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3179…3d2abacked Yes59c47.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Yes59c43.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No60c42.03$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.915957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Yes53c40.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.123259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.69246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c0…64d0backed Yes56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Yes57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cc…f83abacked Yes56c33.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Yes61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes61c29.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked No43c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.961540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156159%36 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…2e2abacked Yes59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab08…37fabacked Yes61c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.25616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa35c…323ebacked Yes59c22.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b5…4e3dbacked No79c18.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.891040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Yes60c17.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.567869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.