Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f641ae0bc0295715c9e9fd482bfcd450996486858b8cce9e545a700d0e67a03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Fnatic | 44c | 2,718$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 2,572$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.52 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Gentle Mates | 61c | 2,274$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.83 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 964.95$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed Gentle Mates | 14c | 818.81$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.89 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 791.27$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.64 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Fnatic | 39c | 506.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…1501backed Fnatic | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 313.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…091dbacked Fnatic | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Fnatic | 52c | 258.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed Fnatic | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Fnatic | 38c | 197.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Fnatic | 31c | 190.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Fnatic | 34c | 173.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Fnatic | 35c | 172.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…3377backed Fnatic | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Fnatic | 39c | 145.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Fnatic | 43c | 135.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed Fnatic | 47c | 122.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4c26backed Gentle Mates | 76c | 115$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked Fnatic | 51c | 107.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…9445backed Fnatic | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b4…7e7bbacked Fnatic | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…ed68backed Fnatic | 58c | 94.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked Fnatic | 36c | 89.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Fnatic | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 86.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…7436backed Fnatic | 35c | 82.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ea…5db4backed Fnatic | 58c | 68.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…d550backed Gentle Mates | 80c | 62.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…f091backed Fnatic | 63c | 57.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Fnatic | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4490…504ebacked Fnatic | 46c | 42.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Fnatic | 51c | 42.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…339abacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c88…425cbacked Fnatic | 42c | 39.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6029…88f1backed Fnatic | 38c | 35.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Fnatic | 46c | 32.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 3 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.