Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2655aecf8ee9d03961d299af76b6611b15ddc181a81d5ba07a90d280daafc443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic | 17c | 4,857$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.68 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Gentle Mates | 44c | 4,321$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,411.33 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 4,044$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.9 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Fnatic | 49c | 3,529$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.39 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Gentle Mates | 69c | 2,933$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.64 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Fnatic | 56c | 2,444$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.44 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Fnatic | 45c | 2,321$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.54 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…bb5dbacked Fnatic | 51c | 1,867$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.77 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 1,600$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.4 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Fnatic | 46c | 1,448$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.47 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 1,408$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.47 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed Fnatic | 57c | 1,147$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.73 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Fnatic | 43c | 1,067$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.08 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Gentle Mates | 78c | 798.84$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 727.37$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.96 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 676.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.79 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Fnatic | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…7436backed Fnatic | 51c | 422$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 64c | 377.22$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 364.67$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fnatic | 65c | 301$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.66 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Fnatic | 57c | 263.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked Fnatic | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Fnatic | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Fnatic | 55c | 187.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Fnatic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Gentle Mates | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Fnatic | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eec…600bbacked Fnatic | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Fnatic | 50c | 79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Fnatic | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e59…07d6backed Fnatic | 55c | 45.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked Gentle Mates | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…1611backed Fnatic | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Fnatic | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed Fnatic | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Fnatic | 54c | 33.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…b0f0backed Fnatic | 65c | 30.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gentle Mates | 36c | 28.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Fnatic | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b9…9d98backed Gentle Mates | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c9…d487backed Fnatic | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 4 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.