Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb46663795466d547b5de7d1318a89753686d01e29c5892166a96b84a6d491f7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Gentle Mates, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe363…c894backed Fnatic | 60c | 9,871$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,997.38 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 3,360$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.26 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 3,096$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 2,880$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.06 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 2,729$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.11 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 1,976$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.13 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fnatic | 35c | 1,784$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.91 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Gentle Mates | 57c | 1,580$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.63 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked Fnatic | 58c | 863.64$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.73 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…b346backed Fnatic | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Fnatic | 48c | 812.38$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.38 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 716.85$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 647$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.52 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Gentle Mates | 11c | 436.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gentle Mates | 46c | 407$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Fnatic | 40c | 387$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 320.37$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 303.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Gentle Mates | 11c | 228$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3e…d2cabacked Gentle Mates | 79c | 223.04$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gentle Mates | 9c | 209$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Fnatic | 51c | 199.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…a6e6backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 137.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 134.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Gentle Mates | 33c | 119$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 110.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Fnatic | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Gentle Mates | 11c | 99.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…3840backed Fnatic | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Fnatic | 62c | 76.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eec…600bbacked Fnatic | 28c | 71.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked Fnatic | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 58.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Fnatic | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc982…d44abacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 52.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 40.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…4868backed Fnatic | 57c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…339abacked Fnatic | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fnatic | 40c | 33.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fnatic | 72c | 23.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FNC (-2.5) vs Gentle Mates (+2.5)Gentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 3 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 4 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.