TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,655

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,655 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Under52c16,243$8,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,796.71875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c9,647$4,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,573.0638247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under66c8,129$5,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.5552243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under53c7,536$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,541.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc9…18c4backed Under53c7,488$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,519.36650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under52c6,782$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,255.362161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Over47c6,367$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over48c5,150$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4721741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over47c4,904$2,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,304.885448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under53c4,245$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,995.214259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over32c4,119$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c3,642$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.53,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over48c3,500$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6801952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over35c3,333$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.723145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under55c2,700$1,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+121.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2007143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over47c2,417$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1362259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5780…8c92backed Over47c1,201$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under66c1,094$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.572,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over47c1,060$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4982429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick19cpaid+48.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over21c1,000$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.32742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c905.28$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42691950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under74c886.14$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over48c871.67$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.43839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over48c854.17$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4105545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over46c799$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.542055%11 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under66c607.3$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.481957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2765856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under57c526.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.756363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over33c517.29$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.771225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over48c505.66$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.62540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over28c492.61$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over47c455.12$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9143344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over47c448.73$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over43c443$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.134353.5%23 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c400$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1929148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over43c347.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017941.9%75 W · 104 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over35c334.04$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.611643.1%50 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over44c306.67$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over46c294.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.696844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over41c292.44$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9150%0 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Under52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Over48c260.42$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…a185backed Over48c260$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over46c241.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115464.8%35 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c220.42$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.81,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under69c220.12$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0714963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over48c220$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.65554.5%30 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3127…ff44backed Over36c220$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x018a…5e65backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over24c212.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5921835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.681723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011449.1%56 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e1…0a7fbacked Over41c208.27$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over47c206.87$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.232245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Under52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over46c179.43$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.541457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8573…a544backed Under55c168.22$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c159.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7214252.1%74 W · 68 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7213650%68 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7212948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725738.6%22 W · 35 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over34c144.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.033046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over58c130.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.69837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x883c…474dbacked Over47c128.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Over47c127.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a94…769cbacked Over49c124.7$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.64235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under52c119.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.473557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over46c110$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.64537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over47c108$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.762334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c107.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7688048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over46c104.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.923324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over38c102$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488747.1%41 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810953.2%58 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Under67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479443.6%41 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.