Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed604f711a9a2a6140bc2179993a37f89e64d9b0c912981adcaf8f685e60331e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique Lyonnaisof RC Celta de Vigo, Olympique Lyonnais
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,654 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique Lyonnais | 75c | 2,220$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed RC Celta de Vigo | 26c | 1,905$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 1,210$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 74 | 17.6%13 W · 61 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 661.86$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 338.11$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 318$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.32 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 220$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked RC Celta de Vigo | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 164.47$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed RC Celta de Vigo | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 75c | 148.73$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…4f62backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -63%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 72.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…d2b5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 60.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Olympique Lyonnais | 63c | 51.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 44.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 218 | 35.8%78 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed RC Celta de Vigo | 25c | 41.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Olympique Lyonnais | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40dd…6816backed Olympique Lyonnais | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…919cbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.