Tennis · resolved market
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Gea
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaad4a4f0e56d899d3b033e860dd702ffbe21caabcc21fcc1fb9ef38acc76e1db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arthur Geaof Lukas Neumayer, Arthur Gea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $334,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,917 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Arthur Gea | 78c | 34,767$27,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,556.96 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lukas Neumayer | 21c | 23,883$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lukas Neumayer | 20c | 13,750$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.87 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lukas Neumayer | 43c | 12,478$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.03 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…2de5backed Lukas Neumayer | 37c | 10,534$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.56 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Lukas Neumayer | 14c | 9,982$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Arthur Gea | 41c | 6,500$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,835 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Arthur Gea | 44c | 5,844$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.16 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Gea | 71c | 5,842$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.14 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Lukas Neumayer | 48c | 4,931$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 4,500$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Lukas Neumayer | 27c | 4,136$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.55 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x601a…a675backed Arthur Gea | 37c | 4,073$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.51 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 17c | 4,020$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.41 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Lukas Neumayer | 28c | 3,875$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.14 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Arthur Gea | 54c | 3,617$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.87 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Lukas Neumayer | 21c | 3,561$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.98 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Lukas Neumayer | 49c | 3,086$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Arthur Gea | 36c | 2,979$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.26 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Arthur Gea | 50c | 2,944$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.05 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Arthur Gea | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 2,465$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Lukas Neumayer | 22c | 2,261$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.89 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Arthur Gea | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Arthur Gea | 71c | 1,969$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.48 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Lukas Neumayer | 28c | 1,758$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lukas Neumayer | 53c | 1,658$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.36 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Lukas Neumayer | 65c | 1,650$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 1,616$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 1,597$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.04 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arthur Gea | 67c | 1,531$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Lukas Neumayer | 9c | 1,479$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 1,400$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.98 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Arthur Gea | 68c | 1,379$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.36 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Lukas Neumayer | 15c | 1,341$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 28c | 1,327$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.86 | 287 | 26.8%77 W · 210 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Lukas Neumayer | 26c | 1,256$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.84 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Arthur Gea | 50c | 1,226$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.75 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Arthur Gea | 66c | 1,211$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.23 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lukas Neumayer | 22c | 1,167$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Lukas Neumayer | 45c | 1,100$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.9 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c988backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 1,047$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 1,047$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.72 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lukas Neumayer | 36c | 1,016$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.77 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Arthur Gea | 55c | 912.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.36 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Lukas Neumayer | 27c | 900.59$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Arthur Gea | 72c | 875.44$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.35 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lukas Neumayer | 30c | 852.09$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Arthur Gea | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 798.84$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.13 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Lukas Neumayer | 68c | 779.76$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.24 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 749.84$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.94 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Lukas Neumayer | 37c | 742.65$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.76 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Arthur Gea | 47c | 738.74$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.53 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Arthur Gea | 60c | 738.08$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.77 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Arthur Gea | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…cc72backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 693.61$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Arthur Gea | 47c | 664.82$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.06 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Lukas Neumayer | 7c | 653.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Arthur Gea | 53c | 648.6$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.91 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Arthur Gea | 67c | 647.06$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Lukas Neumayer | 13c | 639.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lukas Neumayer | 30c | 639$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Arthur Gea | 61c | 600.85$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.44 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Lukas Neumayer | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Arthur Gea | 62c | 567.98$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lukas Neumayer | 36c | 536.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Lukas Neumayer | 31c | 533.27$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.14 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Arthur Gea | 73c | 530$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Arthur Gea | 56c | 509.81$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.8 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 502.26$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.79 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…0c51backed Arthur Gea | 64c | 502$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Arthur Gea | 61c | 496.92$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Arthur Gea | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Arthur Gea | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Lukas Neumayer | 33c | 478.25$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Lukas Neumayer | 52c | 477.96$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.75 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Lukas Neumayer | 38c | 462.77$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Arthur Gea | 66c | 454.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Lukas Neumayer | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lukas Neumayer | 30c | 437.77$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 432.26$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 420.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Lukas Neumayer | 37c | 412.5$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Lukas Neumayer | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Arthur Gea | 65c | 387.36$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Lukas Neumayer | 55c | 363.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Arthur Gea | 63c | 359.73$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.73 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…adafbacked Lukas Neumayer | 58c | 345.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Arthur Gea | 67c | 326.31$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Lukas Neumayer | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Arthur Gea | 66c | 304$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 302.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Lukas Neumayer | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Arthur Gea | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lukas Neumayer | 28c | 297.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lukas Neumayer | 23c | 296.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Arthur Gea | 35c | 283.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arthur Gea | 65c | 277.53$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.46 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Geathis page
- Lukas Neumayer vs. Arthur Gea: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Neumayer vs. Gea: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Neumayer vs. Gea: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Neumayer vs. Gea: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Neumayer vs GeaGea won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.